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Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Bengals is the better survivor pick this week

Bengals score 0.458 equity (60.5% win probability) against Raiders at 0.189 — a real gap of 0.269.

CIN team page →LV team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ ATLOpponent@ SF

60.5%Win prob20.6%

0.458Equity score0.189

−3.0Spread11/11 books+10.0

52.5Game total52.0

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 10 meetings · CIN 7 — LV 3. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1514.0ELO rating1432.0

#15ELO rank#29

5-2Record4-4

AFC NorthDivisionAFC West

#2Division rank#3

W +7 · W +22 · W +7 · L 5 · L 3Last 5newest firstW +5 · L 14 · L 3 · L 28 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

17.8 · #15vs QB19.8 · #23

19.4 · #7vs RB25.3 · #21

32.8 · #16vs WR33.8 · #19

16.5 · #22vs TE18.2 · #25

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.5 (2026)Sacks / game2.29 (2026)

10.67Pressures / game11.14

16-10Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows8-14

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.1% · #20Pre-snap motion41.4% · #22

8.5% · #30Play action12.4% · #9

7.3% · #6RPO3.2% · #23

3.3% · #19Screen pass4.1% · #12

2.5% · #31No huddle7.4% · #13

67.0% · #3Shotgun54.2% · #19

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

36.6% · #11Man coverage21.9% · #29

17.6% · #32Blitz (5+ rushers)22.4% · #26

29.4% · #22Pressure27.8% · #27

CIN scheme profile →LV scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Cincinnati Bengals

Amarius MimsOffensive TackleQuestionable
B.J. HillDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam GrandyTight EndQuestionable
Cam SampleDefensive EndOut
Cam Taylor-BrittCornerbackQuestionable
Cedric JohnsonDEDid Not Participate In Practice
Charlie JonesWide ReceiverOut
Cordell VolsonGuardOut
Dalton RisnerGuardQuestionable
DJ Turner IICBDid Not Participate In Practice
Drew SampleTight EndQuestionable
Dylan FairchildGuardOut

Las Vegas Raiders

Adam ButlerDefensive TackleQuestionable
Aidan O'ConnellQuarterbackOut
AJ ColePunterQuestionable
Alex CappaGuardQuestionable
Andre Carter IIDefensive EndQuestionable
Brock BowersTight EndOut
Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
Caleb RogersGuardOut
Charles SnowdenDefensive EndOut
Darien PorterCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Darnay HolmesCornerbackOut
Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)