NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Jaguars is the better survivor pick this week

Jaguars score 0.554 equity (80.4% win probability) against Bengals at 0.458 — a real gap of 0.096.

CIN team page →JAX team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ ATLOpponent@ BAL
60.5%Win prob80.4%
0.458Equity score0.554
−3.0Spread11/11 books−10.0
52.5Game total39.5
▲ 0.008Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 4JAX @ CIN22-17 · JAX

All-time series: 19 meetings · CIN 9 — JAX 10. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1514.0ELO rating1543.1
#15ELO rank#11
5-2Record5-2
AFC NorthDivisionAFC South
#2Division rank#1
W +7 · W +22 · W +7 · L 5 · L 3Last 5newest firstW +35 · L 3 · W +2 · W +5 · W +29

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

17.8 · #15vs QB14.3 · #9
19.4 · #7vs RB17.0 · #2
32.8 · #16vs WR36.9 · #24
16.5 · #22vs TE11.0 · #7

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.5 (2026)Sacks / game1.67 (2026)
10.67Pressures / game9.5
16-10Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows5-5

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.1% · #20Pre-snap motion47.1% · #12
8.5% · #30Play action10.2% · #22
7.3% · #6RPO3.6% · #21
3.3% · #19Screen pass3.8% · #15
2.5% · #31No huddle6.1% · #16
67.0% · #3Shotgun50.5% · #24

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

36.6% · #11Man coverage25.4% · #26
17.6% · #32Blitz (5+ rushers)27.3% · #18
29.4% · #22Pressure27.9% · #26
CIN scheme profile →JAX scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Amarius MimsOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • B.J. HillDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Cam GrandyTight EndQuestionable
  • Cam SampleDefensive EndOut
  • Cam Taylor-BrittCornerbackQuestionable
  • Cedric JohnsonDEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Charlie JonesWide ReceiverOut
  • Cordell VolsonGuardOut
  • Dalton RisnerGuardQuestionable
  • DJ Turner IICBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Drew SampleTight EndQuestionable
  • Dylan FairchildGuardOut

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Anton HarrisonOffensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Antonio JohnsonSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Bhayshul TutenRBQuestionable
  • Branson CombsLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr.RBLimited Participation in Practice
  • DaVon HamiltonDTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Eric MurraySDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Ezra ClevelandGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jakobi MeyersWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jarrian JonesCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Travon WalkerDEQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

Track your real pool free — 10-day trial, no card →