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Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Bengals is the better survivor pick this week

Bengals score 0.436 equity (64.3% win probability) against Browns at 0.215 — a real gap of 0.221.

CIN team page →CLE team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs TBOpponent@ JAX

64.3%Win prob22.4%

0.436Equity score0.215

−3.5Spread11/11 books+8.5

50.5Game total40.0

▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 13CIN @ CLEnot played yet

Week 18CLE @ CINnot played yet

All-time series: 54 meetings · CIN 32 — CLE 22. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1474.0ELO rating1419.8

#22ELO rank#27

6-11Record5-12

AFC NorthDivisionAFC North

#3Division rank#4

L 2 · W +23 · W +24 · L 24 · L 5Last 5newest firstW +2 · W +7 · L 3 · L 28 · L 2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

18.4 · #26vs QB13.3 · #5

28.6 · #32vs RB22.8 · #19

25.3 · #2vs WR26.9 · #8

20.9 · #31vs TE12.1 · #9

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2 (2025)Sacks / game3.12 (2025)

7.12Pressures / game9.29

16-10Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows6-9

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.1% · #20Pre-snap motion39.3% · #27

8.5% · #30Play action11.2% · #15

7.3% · #6RPO3.0% · #25

3.3% · #19Screen pass4.2% · #11

2.5% · #31No huddle7.5% · #12

67.0% · #3Shotgun55.8% · #14

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

36.6% · #11Man coverage41.3% · #5

17.6% · #32Blitz (5+ rushers)28.1% · #15

29.4% · #22Pressure35.1% · #1

CIN scheme profile →CLE scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Cincinnati Bengals

Amarius MimsOffensive TackleQuestionable
B.J. HillDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam GrandyTight EndQuestionable
Cam SampleDefensive EndOut
Cam Taylor-BrittCornerbackQuestionable
Cedric JohnsonDefensive EndQuestionable
Charlie JonesWide ReceiverOut
Cordell VolsonGuardOut
Dalton RisnerGuardQuestionable
DJ Turner IICornerbackQuestionable
Drew SampleTight EndQuestionable
Dylan FairchildGuardOut

Cleveland Browns

Adin HuntingtonDefensive EndQuestionable
Alex WrightDefensive EndOut
Anthony KendallCornerbackInjured Reserve
Blake WhiteheartTight EndQuestionable
Brenden BatesTight EndOut
Cam RobinsonOffensive TackleQuestionable
Cameron McGroneLinebackerQuestionable
Carson SchwesingerLBFull Participation in Practice
Cedric TillmanWide ReceiverOut
Cornelius LucasOffensive TackleOut
David NjokuTight EndOut
Dawand JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)