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Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Bengals is the better survivor pick this week

Bengals score 0.451 equity (60.6% win probability) against Browns at 0.289 — a real gap of 0.162.

CIN team page →CLE team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ ATLOpponent@ NO

60.6%Win prob40.1%

0.451Equity score0.289

−3.0Spread11/11 books+3.0

52.5Game total42.5

▼ 0.009Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 13CIN @ CLEnot played yet

Week 18CLE @ CINnot played yet

All-time series: 54 meetings · CIN 32 — CLE 22. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1514.0ELO rating1475.0

#15ELO rank#18

5-2Record5-3

AFC NorthDivisionAFC North

#2Division rank#3

W +7 · W +22 · W +7 · L 5 · L 3Last 5newest firstL 21 · W +3 · W +3 · L 5 · W +3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

17.8 · #15vs QB13.4 · #7

19.4 · #7vs RB21.1 · #14

32.8 · #16vs WR29.3 · #11

16.5 · #22vs TE14.9 · #20

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.5 (2026)Sacks / game2.86 (2026)

10.67Pressures / game8.71

16-10Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows7-9

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.1% · #20Pre-snap motion39.3% · #27

8.5% · #30Play action11.2% · #15

7.3% · #6RPO3.0% · #25

3.3% · #19Screen pass4.2% · #11

2.5% · #31No huddle7.5% · #12

67.0% · #3Shotgun55.8% · #14

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

36.6% · #11Man coverage41.3% · #5

17.6% · #32Blitz (5+ rushers)28.1% · #15

29.4% · #22Pressure35.1% · #1

CIN scheme profile →CLE scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Cincinnati Bengals

Amarius MimsOffensive TackleQuestionable
B.J. HillDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam GrandyTight EndQuestionable
Cam SampleDefensive EndOut
Cam Taylor-BrittCornerbackQuestionable
Cedric JohnsonDEDid Not Participate In Practice
Charlie JonesWide ReceiverOut
Cordell VolsonGuardOut
Dalton RisnerGuardQuestionable
DJ Turner IICBDid Not Participate In Practice
Drew SampleTight EndQuestionable
Dylan FairchildGuardOut

Cleveland Browns

Austin BarberTDid Not Participate In Practice
Carsen RyanTight EndOut
Carson SchwesingerLBLimited Participation in Practice
Denzel BostonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Deshaun WatsonQBDid Not Participate In Practice
Dillon GabrielQuarterbackInjured Reserve
Dylan SampsonRunning BackInjured Reserve
Elgton JenkinsCLimited Participation in Practice
Jared VerseDELimited Participation in Practice
Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLinebackerOut
Kalia DavisDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
Maliek CollinsDTDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)