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Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Bears is the better survivor pick this week

Bears score 0.500 equity (70.6% win probability) against Eagles at 0.303 — a real gap of 0.197.

CHI team page →PHI team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs TBOpponentvs NYG

70.6%Win prob38.9%

0.500Equity score0.303

−6.0Spread11/11 books+3.0

47.5Game total38.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 3PHI @ CHI7-27 · CHI

All-time series: 18 meetings · CHI 6 — PHI 12. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1546.5ELO rating1503.0

#9ELO rank#17

6-2Record2-6

NFC NorthDivisionNFC East

#2Division rank#4

W +17 · W +6 · W +8 · L 24 · W +11Last 5newest firstL 17 · L 17 · L 11 · L 2 · L 4

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

19.1 · #22vs QB19.0 · #21

17.8 · #3vs RB21.5 · #15

31.2 · #15vs WR39.4 · #27

12.0 · #9vs TE9.6 · #3

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.71 (2026)Sacks / game1.14 (2026)

9Pressures / game7.43

12-15Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows19-16

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

47.2% · #10Pre-snap motion36.4% · #28

14.7% · #2Play action10.1% · #23

3.6% · #22RPO5.4% · #14

4.1% · #13Screen pass2.1% · #32

4.3% · #24No huddle15.9% · #4

44.2% · #28Shotgun62.9% · #7

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

43.8% · #2Man coverage43.5% · #3

28.7% · #11Blitz (5+ rushers)19.7% · #31

28.7% · #23Pressure32.8% · #8

CHI scheme profile →PHI scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 8 · nflverse + highlightly

Chicago Bears

Anthony Johnson Jr.SafetyInjured Reserve
Braxton JonesOffensive TackleDoubtful
Caleb WilliamsQuarterbackQuestionable
Case KeenumQuarterbackOut
Colston LovelandTEFull Participation in Practice
D'Marco JacksonLBQuestionable
Grady JarrettDefensive EndDoubtful
Jack SanbornLBFull Participation in Practice
Jamree KromahDefensive EndOut
Jordan van den BergDefensive TackleOut
Kentavius StreetDefensive TackleQuestionable
Keyshaun ElliottLinebackerOut

Philadelphia Eagles

AJ EpenesaDefensive EndOut
Britain CoveyWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Cole PaytonQuarterbackOut
Dallas GoedertTEFull Participation in Practice
DeVonta SmithWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Dontayvion WicksWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Drew KendallCenterOut
Fred JohnsonOffensive TackleOut
Hollywood BrownWide ReceiverOut
Jake ElliottKLimited Participation in Practice
Jalyx HuntLBLimited Participation in Practice
Jihaad CampbellLBDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: San Francisco 49ers Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)