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Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Bears is the better survivor pick this week

Bears score 0.492 equity (70.5% win probability) against Rams at 0.482 — a real gap of 0.010.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs TBOpponent@ WAS
70.5%Win prob66.7%
0.492Equity score0.482
−6.0Spread11/11 books−4.5
47.5Game total48.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 15 meetings · CHI 7 — LA 8. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1546.5ELO rating1543.5
#9ELO rank#10
6-2Record4-4
NFC NorthDivisionNFC West
#2Division rank#3
W +17 · W +6 · W +8 · L 24 · W +11Last 5newest firstW +15 · W +14 · L 2 · L 3 · W +4

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

19.1 · #22vs QB16.0 · #12
17.8 · #3vs RB19.9 · #10
31.2 · #15vs WR26.8 · #5
12.0 · #9vs TE10.6 · #6

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.71 (2026)Sacks / game1.43 (2026)
9Pressures / game7.57
12-15Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows17-17

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

47.2% · #10Pre-snap motion50.6% · #4
14.7% · #2Play action15.8% · #1
3.6% · #22RPO0.4% · #32
4.1% · #13Screen pass3.0% · #21
4.3% · #24No huddle6.0% · #17
44.2% · #28Shotgun34.8% · #32

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

43.8% · #2Man coverage27.0% · #23
28.7% · #11Blitz (5+ rushers)20.8% · #29
28.7% · #23Pressure32.1% · #9

Injury report

2026 week 8 · nflverse + highlightly

Chicago Bears

  • Anthony Johnson Jr.SafetyInjured Reserve
  • Braxton JonesOffensive TackleDoubtful
  • Caleb WilliamsQuarterbackQuestionable
  • Case KeenumQuarterbackOut
  • Colston LovelandTEFull Participation in Practice
  • D'Marco JacksonLBQuestionable
  • Grady JarrettDefensive EndDoubtful
  • Jack SanbornLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Jamree KromahDefensive EndOut
  • Jordan van den BergDefensive TackleOut
  • Kentavius StreetDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Keyshaun ElliottLinebackerOut

Los Angeles Rams

  • Bill MurrayGuardOut
  • CJ DanielsWide ReceiverOut
  • Colby ParkinsonTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Grant StuardLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jaylen WatsonCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joe CardonaLSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Jordan WhittingtonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Josaiah StewartLinebackerQuestionable
  • Kam CurlSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kamren KinchensSafetyOut
  • Larrell MurchisonDefensive EndOut
  • Matthew StaffordQBFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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