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Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Saints is the better survivor pick this week

Saints score 0.461 equity (59.9% win probability) against Panthers at 0.307 — a real gap of 0.155.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs DENOpponentvs CLE
42.7%Win prob59.9%
0.307Equity score0.461
+2.5Spread11/11 books−3.0
44.0Game total42.5
▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 10CAR @ NOnot played yet
Week 14NO @ CARnot played yet

All-time series: 55 meetings · CAR 24 — NO 31. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1456.0ELO rating1436.2
#24ELO rank#28
3-4Record2-5
NFC SouthDivisionNFC South
#1Division rank#4
L 8 · L 30 · W +11 · W +6 · L 3Last 5newest firstL 6 · W +7 · L 10 · L 21 · L 8

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

16.8 · #14vs QB—
28.3 · #28vs RB—
30.2 · #13vs WR—
13.9 · #15vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.43 (2026)Sacks / game2.57 (2026)
8.57Pressures / game7.29
4-6Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows4-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

34.5% · #31Pre-snap motion49.7% · #8
10.4% · #21Play action9.6% · #25
7.8% · #5RPO4.7% · #15
3.0% · #22Screen pass2.7% · #26
4.7% · #23No huddle18.7% · #2
55.4% · #15Shotgun65.7% · #5

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.4% · #30Man coverage22.1% · #28
27.1% · #19Blitz (5+ rushers)25.6% · #21
21.3% · #32Pressure28.2% · #24

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Carolina Panthers

  • Bobby Brown IIIDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Bobby OkerekeLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Brady ChristensenGFull Participation in Practice
  • Bryce YoungQBFull Participation in Practice
  • Chris Brazzell IIWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Corey BullockGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Damien LewisGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dan ChisenaWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Ikem EkwonuOffensive TackleOut
  • Jaelan PhillipsLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Nic ScourtonLinebackerInjured Reserve
  • Taylor MotonOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

New Orleans Saints

  • Alvin KamaraRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Asim RichardsTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Cesar RuizGFull Participation in Practice
  • Christen MillerDefensive TackleOut
  • CJ DonaldsonRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Davon GodchauxDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut
  • Jordyn TysonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Justin ReidSFull Participation in Practice
  • Kelvin Banks Jr.TLimited Participation in Practice
  • Martin EmersonCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Nathan ShepherdDTFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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