NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Carolina Panthers vs Minnesota Vikings

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Vikings is the better survivor pick this week

Vikings score 0.313 equity (39.0% win probability) against Panthers at 0.307 — a real gap of 0.005.

CAR team page →MIN team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs DENOpponentvs BUF
42.8%Win prob39.0%
0.307Equity score0.313
+2.5Spread11/11 books+3.0
44.0Game total45.0
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.009

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 13CAR @ MINnot played yet

All-time series: 15 meetings · CAR 6 — MIN 9. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1456.0ELO rating1570.6
#24ELO rank#4
3-4Record6-1
NFC SouthDivisionNFC North
#1Division rank#1
L 8 · L 30 · W +11 · W +6 · L 3Last 5newest firstL 4 · W +6 · W +10 · W +5 · W +7

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

16.8 · #14vs QB7.8 · #1
28.3 · #28vs RB18.4 · #5
30.2 · #13vs WR25.9 · #4
13.9 · #15vs TE7.1 · #1

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.43 (2026)Sacks / game3.5 (2026)
8.57Pressures / game13.33
4-6Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows11-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

34.5% · #31Pre-snap motion41.3% · #23
10.4% · #21Play action12.5% · #8
7.8% · #5RPO3.7% · #20
3.0% · #22Screen pass4.2% · #10
4.7% · #23No huddle6.1% · #15
55.4% · #15Shotgun45.6% · #26

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.4% · #30Man coverage19.0% · #32
27.1% · #19Blitz (5+ rushers)46.2% · #1
21.3% · #32Pressure34.1% · #4
CAR scheme profile →MIN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Carolina Panthers

  • Bobby Brown IIIDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Bobby OkerekeLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Brady ChristensenGFull Participation in Practice
  • Bryce YoungQBFull Participation in Practice
  • Chris Brazzell IIWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Corey BullockGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Damien LewisGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dan ChisenaWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Ikem EkwonuOffensive TackleOut
  • Jaelan PhillipsLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Nic ScourtonLinebackerInjured Reserve
  • Taylor MotonOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Minnesota Vikings

  • Aaron JonesRBFull Participation in Practice
  • Adam ThielenWide ReceiverOut
  • Andrew Van GinkelLinebackerOut
  • Austin KeysLinebackerOut
  • Ben SimsTight EndOut
  • Ben YurosekTight EndOut
  • Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
  • Brian O'NeillTFull Participation in Practice
  • Chaz ChamblissLinebackerOut
  • Christian DarrisawTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Corey KinerRunning BackOut
  • Desmond RidderQuarterbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

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