Compare

Carolina Panthers vs Minnesota Vikings

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Vikings is the better survivor pick this week

Vikings score 0.382 equity (53.0% win probability) against Panthers at 0.332 — a real gap of 0.050.

CAR team page →MIN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs CHIOpponentvs GB

39.7%Win prob53.0%

0.332Equity score0.382

+3.0Spread11/11 books−1.5

47.0Game total46.5

▲ 0.011Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.002

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 13CAR @ MINnot played yet

All-time series: 15 meetings · CAR 6 — MIN 9. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1434.3ELO rating1547.9

#25ELO rank#10

8-9Record9-8

NFC SouthDivisionNFC North

#3Division rank#4

L 3 · L 2 · L 17 · W +3 · L 3Last 5newest firstW +13 · W +13 · W +3 · W +8 · W +31

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

13.8 · #6vs QB11.1 · #1

24.1 · #24vs RB19.6 · #9

26.6 · #7vs WR23.7 · #1

13.7 · #18vs TE10.7 · #5

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.72 (2025)Sacks / game2.88 (2025)

5.94Pressures / game9.06

3-5Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows11-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

34.5% · #31Pre-snap motion41.3% · #23

10.4% · #21Play action12.5% · #8

7.8% · #5RPO3.7% · #20

3.0% · #22Screen pass4.2% · #10

4.7% · #23No huddle6.1% · #15

55.4% · #15Shotgun45.6% · #26

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.4% · #30Man coverage19.0% · #32

27.1% · #19Blitz (5+ rushers)46.2% · #1

21.3% · #32Pressure34.1% · #4

CAR scheme profile →MIN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Carolina Panthers

Bobby Brown IIIDTFull Participation in Practice
Chris Brazzell IIWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Damien LewisGuardQuestionable
Dan ChisenaWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Ikem EkwonuOffensive TackleOut
Jonathon BrooksRBLimited Participation in Practice
Nic ScourtonLinebackerInjured Reserve
Patrick Jones IILBDid Not Participate In Practice

Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones Sr.Running BackQuestionable
Adam ThielenWide ReceiverOut
Andrew Van GinkelLinebackerOut
Austin KeysLinebackerOut
Ben SimsTight EndOut
Ben YurosekTight EndOut
Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
Brian O'NeillOffensive TackleOut
Caleb TiernanTLimited Participation in Practice
Chaz ChamblissLinebackerOut
Christian DarrisawOffensive TackleOut
Corey KinerRunning BackOut

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)