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Carolina Panthers vs Houston Texans

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Texans is the better survivor pick this week

Texans score 0.487 equity (67.7% win probability) against Panthers at 0.307 — a real gap of 0.180.

CAR team page →HOU team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs DENOpponent@ LAC

42.8%Win prob67.7%

0.307Equity score0.487

+2.5Spread11/11 books−5.5

44.0Game total40.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.007

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · CAR 5 — HOU 2. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1456.0ELO rating1507.0

#24ELO rank#16

3-4Record2-5

NFC SouthDivisionAFC South

#1Division rank#2

L 8 · L 30 · W +11 · W +6 · L 3Last 5newest firstL 6 · W +3 · W +23 · L 4 · L 2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

16.8 · #14vs QB—

28.3 · #28vs RB—

30.2 · #13vs WR—

13.9 · #15vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.43 (2026)Sacks / game3 (2026)

8.57Pressures / game9.71

4-6Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows10-10

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

34.5% · #31Pre-snap motion44.7% · #14

10.4% · #21Play action11.2% · #16

7.8% · #5RPO1.3% · #29

3.0% · #22Screen pass2.2% · #31

4.7% · #23No huddle3.6% · #27

55.4% · #15Shotgun51.0% · #23

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.4% · #30Man coverage31.5% · #16

27.1% · #19Blitz (5+ rushers)22.9% · #23

21.3% · #32Pressure30.7% · #15

CAR scheme profile →HOU scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Carolina Panthers

Bobby Brown IIIDTFull Participation in Practice
Bobby OkerekeLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Brady ChristensenGFull Participation in Practice
Bryce YoungQBFull Participation in Practice
Chris Brazzell IIWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Corey BullockGLimited Participation in Practice
Damien LewisGDid Not Participate In Practice
Dan ChisenaWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Ikem EkwonuOffensive TackleOut
Jaelan PhillipsLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Nic ScourtonLinebackerInjured Reserve
Taylor MotonOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Houston Texans

Aireontae ErseryOffensive TackleOut
Alijah HuzzieCornerbackOut
Ameer SpeedCornerbackOut
Azeez Al-ShaairLBLimited Participation in Practice
Blake FisherTFull Participation in Practice
Braden SmithTLimited Participation in Practice
Braxton BerriosWide ReceiverOut
Brevin JordanTELimited Participation in Practice
British BrooksRunning BackOut
C.J. Gardner-JohnsonSafetyQuestionable
C.J. StroudQuarterbackOut
Cade StoverTight EndQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)