NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Panthers is the better survivor pick this week

Panthers score 0.307 equity (42.8% win probability) against Packers at 0.293 — a real gap of 0.014.

CAR team page →GB team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs DENOpponent@ NE
42.8%Win prob39.5%
0.307Equity score0.293
+2.5Spread11/11 books+3.0
44.5Game total45.0
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 8CAR @ GB19-27 · GB

All-time series: 17 meetings · CAR 7 — GB 10. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1456.0ELO rating1531.1
#24ELO rank#13
3-4Record5-3
NFC SouthDivisionNFC North
#1Division rank#4
L 8 · L 30 · W +11 · W +6 · L 3Last 5newest firstW +8 · L 3 · W +10 · W +24 · W +3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

16.8 · #14vs QB12.6 · #5
28.3 · #28vs RB25.5 · #23
30.2 · #13vs WR35.0 · #22
13.9 · #15vs TE9.0 · #2

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.43 (2026)Sacks / game2.75 (2026)
8.57Pressures / game9.38
4-6Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows19-16-1

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

34.5% · #31Pre-snap motion44.1% · #15
10.4% · #21Play action11.7% · #12
7.8% · #5RPO7.9% · #4
3.0% · #22Screen pass3.3% · #18
4.7% · #23No huddle7.2% · #14
55.4% · #15Shotgun52.2% · #21

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.4% · #30Man coverage21.2% · #31
27.1% · #19Blitz (5+ rushers)21.9% · #28
21.3% · #32Pressure30.7% · #16
CAR scheme profile →GB scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Carolina Panthers

  • Bobby Brown IIIDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Bobby OkerekeLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Brady ChristensenGFull Participation in Practice
  • Bryce YoungQBFull Participation in Practice
  • Chris Brazzell IIWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Corey BullockGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Damien LewisGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dan ChisenaWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Ikem EkwonuOffensive TackleOut
  • Jaelan PhillipsLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Nic ScourtonLinebackerInjured Reserve
  • Taylor MotonOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Green Bay Packers

  • Aaron BanksGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Chris BrooksRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Christian WatsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Devonte WyattDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Javon HargraveDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Jayden ReedWide ReceiverOut
  • Josh WhyleTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Keisean NixonCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Matthew GoldenWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • Micah ParsonsLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Sean RhyanCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Travis GloverGDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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