NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Panthers play Broncos in Week 9

They face each other, so only one can be used this week. On real de-vigged market prices DEN carries the higher survivor equity score.

CAR team page →DEN team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs DENOpponent@ CAR
42.8%Win prob57.2%
0.307Equity score0.443
+2.5Spread11/11 books−2.5
44.0Game total44.0
▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.001

Head-to-head this week

week 9 · Bank of America Stadium

Matchup
DEN @ CAR
Spread (home)
+2.5 (11 books)
Total
44.0 (11 books)
Kickoff
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 18:00

Opened CAR +3.0, now CAR +2.5 · moved 0.5 toward CAR · Total 42.5 → 44.0 (+1.5)(242 snapshots)

Forecast: 63.8°F · wind 4.5 mph · 0% precip · Clear

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 9DEN @ CARnot played yet

All-time series: 8 meetings · CAR 2 — DEN 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1456.0ELO rating1589.8
#24ELO rank#2
3-4Record6-2
NFC SouthDivisionAFC West
#1Division rank#1
L 8 · L 30 · W +11 · W +6 · L 3Last 5newest firstW +4 · W +14 · W +3 · W +6 · L 10

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

16.8 · #14vs QB16.4 · #13
28.3 · #28vs RB25.3 · #22
30.2 · #13vs WR27.5 · #7
13.9 · #15vs TE16.7 · #23

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.43 (2026)Sacks / game3 (2026)
8.57Pressures / game11.14
4-6Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows12-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

34.5% · #31Pre-snap motion39.9% · #25
10.4% · #21Play action12.5% · #7
7.8% · #5RPO7.0% · #9
3.0% · #22Screen pass5.5% · #3
4.7% · #23No huddle11.0% · #5
55.4% · #15Shotgun54.3% · #16

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.4% · #30Man coverage44.4% · #1
27.1% · #19Blitz (5+ rushers)32.8% · #6
21.3% · #32Pressure33.7% · #5
CAR scheme profile →DEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Carolina Panthers

  • Bobby Brown IIIDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Bobby OkerekeLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Brady ChristensenGFull Participation in Practice
  • Bryce YoungQBFull Participation in Practice
  • Chris Brazzell IIWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Corey BullockGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Damien LewisGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dan ChisenaWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Ikem EkwonuOffensive TackleOut
  • Jaelan PhillipsLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Nic ScourtonLinebackerInjured Reserve
  • Taylor MotonOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Denver Broncos

  • Brandon JonesSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Caleb LohnerTight EndInjured Reserve
  • Courtland SuttonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Eyioma UwazurikeDEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Frank CrumOffensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Jaylen WaddleWRFull Participation in Practice
  • Jonah ColemanRunning BackInjured Reserve
  • Jonathon CooperLinebackerOut
  • Kris Abrams-DraineCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Levelle BaileyLinebackerInjured Reserve
  • Nick GargiuloGuardOut
  • Pat BryantWRFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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