NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Carolina Panthers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Bengals is the better survivor pick this week

Bengals score 0.450 equity (60.7% win probability) against Panthers at 0.307 — a real gap of 0.143.

CAR team page →CIN team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs DENOpponent@ ATL
42.8%Win prob60.7%
0.307Equity score0.450
+2.5Spread11/11 books−3.0
44.5Game total52.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 15CIN @ CARnot played yet

All-time series: 8 meetings · CAR 3 — CIN 4 · 1 ties. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1456.0ELO rating1514.0
#24ELO rank#15
3-4Record5-2
NFC SouthDivisionAFC North
#1Division rank#2
L 8 · L 30 · W +11 · W +6 · L 3Last 5newest firstW +7 · W +22 · W +7 · L 5 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

16.8 · #14vs QB17.8 · #15
28.3 · #28vs RB19.4 · #7
30.2 · #13vs WR32.8 · #16
13.9 · #15vs TE16.5 · #22

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.43 (2026)Sacks / game3.5 (2026)
8.57Pressures / game10.67
4-6Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows16-10

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

34.5% · #31Pre-snap motion42.1% · #20
10.4% · #21Play action8.5% · #30
7.8% · #5RPO7.3% · #6
3.0% · #22Screen pass3.3% · #19
4.7% · #23No huddle2.5% · #31
55.4% · #15Shotgun67.0% · #3

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.4% · #30Man coverage36.6% · #11
27.1% · #19Blitz (5+ rushers)17.6% · #32
21.3% · #32Pressure29.4% · #22
CAR scheme profile →CIN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Carolina Panthers

  • Bobby Brown IIIDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Bobby OkerekeLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Brady ChristensenGFull Participation in Practice
  • Bryce YoungQBFull Participation in Practice
  • Chris Brazzell IIWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Corey BullockGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Damien LewisGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dan ChisenaWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Ikem EkwonuOffensive TackleOut
  • Jaelan PhillipsLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Nic ScourtonLinebackerInjured Reserve
  • Taylor MotonOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Amarius MimsOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • B.J. HillDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Cam GrandyTight EndQuestionable
  • Cam SampleDefensive EndOut
  • Cam Taylor-BrittCornerbackQuestionable
  • Cedric JohnsonDEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Charlie JonesWide ReceiverOut
  • Cordell VolsonGuardOut
  • Dalton RisnerGuardQuestionable
  • DJ Turner IICBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Drew SampleTight EndQuestionable
  • Dylan FairchildGuardOut

Relevant to this matchup

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