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Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Only Bills is priced this week

Titans are on bye for this week, so Bills is the only side of this comparison with a real survivor number.

BUF team page →TEN team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ MINOpponentbye / not scheduled

61.0%Win prob—

0.437Equity score—

−3.0Spread11/0 books—

45.0Game total—

▼ 0.009Equity trendsince previous stored snapshotsingle snapshot

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 14 meetings · BUF 6 — TEN 8. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1603.7ELO rating1370.2

#1ELO rank#32

6-1Record1-7

AFC EastDivisionAFC South

#1Division rank#4

W +26 · W +3 · W +3 · L 3 · W +8Last 5newest firstL 7 · L 3 · W +6 · L 23 · L 6

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

18.4 · #20vs QB18.4 · #19

27.4 · #27vs RB21.6 · #16

37.1 · #25vs WR40.7 · #28

14.1 · #17vs TE12.6 · #10

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.83 (2026)Sacks / game2.43 (2026)

10.83Pressures / game8.43

24-13Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows6-7

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

50.2% · #6Pre-snap motion35.5% · #29

11.6% · #13Play action9.9% · #24

5.4% · #13RPO8.6% · #3

4.4% · #9Screen pass5.7% · #2

4.7% · #22No huddle8.2% · #9

42.6% · #29Shotgun58.9% · #11

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

31.3% · #17Man coverage27.1% · #22

26.4% · #20Blitz (5+ rushers)22.9% · #24

34.2% · #2Pressure29.5% · #21

BUF scheme profile →TEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 8 · nflverse + highlightly

Buffalo Bills

Ar'maj Reed-AdamsGFull Participation in Practice
Bradley ChubbLBFull Participation in Practice
Cole BishopSafetyQuestionable
Dalton KincaidTEQuestionable
Dee AlfordCBQuestionable
DJ MooreWRQuestionable
Dorian StrongCornerbackOut
Ed OliverDEFull Participation in Practice
Greg GainesDTQuestionable
Joe AndreessenLBFull Participation in Practice
Joshua PalmerWide ReceiverOut
Landon JacksonDefensive EndOut

Tennessee Titans

Ali GayeLinebackerQuestionable
Amani HookerSafetyOut
Anfernee OrjiLinebackerInjured Reserve
Arden KeyLinebackerQuestionable
Blake HanceGuardQuestionable
Bryce OliverWide ReceiverOut
C.J. RavenellDefensive EndOut
Calvin RidleyWRQuestionable
Cam HorsleyDefensive TackleOut
Cam WardQuarterbackOut
Carnell TateWROut
Cedric GrayLinebackerOut

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)