Compare
Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings
Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.
Week 9 verdict
Bills play Vikings in Week 9
They face each other, so only one can be used this week. On real de-vigged market prices BUF carries the higher survivor equity score.
This week
2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores
Head-to-head this week
week 9 · U.S. Bank Stadium
- Matchup
- BUF @ MIN
- Spread (home)
- +3.0 (11 books)
- Total
- 45.5 (11 books)
- Kickoff
- Tue, 10 Nov 2026 01:15
Opened MIN +3.3, now MIN +3.0 · moved 0.3 toward MIN · Total 49.0 → 45.5 (−3.5)(240 snapshots)
No in-horizon weather forecast stored for this game yet.
Season series
2026 scheduled meetings
All-time series: 7 meetings · BUF 4 — MIN 3. See the full head-to-head history →
Power rating & record
elo through 2026 · week 9
Defense vs position
ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher
Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only
tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market
Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.
Scheme tendencies — offense
ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate
Scheme tendencies — defense
nflverse participation · 2025 season
Injury report
2026 week 8 · nflverse + highlightly
Buffalo Bills
- Ar'maj Reed-AdamsGFull Participation in Practice
- Bradley ChubbLBFull Participation in Practice
- Cole BishopSafetyQuestionable
- Dalton KincaidTEQuestionable
- Dee AlfordCBQuestionable
- DJ MooreWRQuestionable
- Dorian StrongCornerbackOut
- Ed OliverDEFull Participation in Practice
- Greg GainesDTQuestionable
- Joe AndreessenLBFull Participation in Practice
- Joshua PalmerWide ReceiverOut
- Landon JacksonDefensive EndOut
Minnesota Vikings
- Aaron JonesRBFull Participation in Practice
- Adam ThielenWide ReceiverOut
- Andrew Van GinkelLinebackerOut
- Austin KeysLinebackerOut
- Ben SimsTight EndOut
- Ben YurosekTight EndOut
- Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
- Brian O'NeillTFull Participation in Practice
- Chaz ChamblissLinebackerOut
- Christian DarrisawTDid Not Participate In Practice
- Corey KinerRunning BackOut
- Desmond RidderQuarterbackOut
Relevant to this matchup
- The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
- 2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
- 2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
- 2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: San Francisco 49ers Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)