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Baltimore Ravens vs San Francisco 49ers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

49ers is the better survivor pick this week

49ers score 0.561 equity (79.4% win probability) against Ravens at 0.196 — a real gap of 0.366.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs JAXOpponentvs LV
19.6%Win prob79.4%
0.196Equity score0.561
+10.0Spread11/11 books−10.0
39.5Game total52.0
▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · BAL 6 — SF 1. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1515.1ELO rating1575.5
#14ELO rank#3
4-4Record6-1
AFC NorthDivisionNFC West
#4Division rank#1
L 26 · L 22 · L 3 · W +7 · W +6Last 5newest firstL 9 · W +6 · W +3 · W +10 · W +6

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

18.1 · #18vs QB—
19.5 · #8vs RB—
35.0 · #21vs WR—
13.5 · #12vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.29 (2026)Sacks / game2.14 (2026)
8.14Pressures / game9.71
23-13Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows24-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion55.1% · #2
8.9% · #28Play action10.8% · #17
4.4% · #17RPO0.6% · #31
2.8% · #24Screen pass3.0% · #23
2.7% · #30No huddle3.7% · #26
52.4% · #20Shotgun45.0% · #27

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage26.6% · #24
23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)22.6% · #25
28.1% · #25Pressure23.2% · #31

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

  • Adam RandallRBQuestionable
  • Calais CampbellDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Jaylinn HawkinsSOut
  • Joe FagnanoQBFull Participation in Practice
  • John JenkinsDTFull Participation in Practice
  • John SimpsonGFull Participation in Practice
  • Justice HillRBFull Participation in Practice
  • Lamar JacksonQBOut
  • Mark AndrewsTEFull Participation in Practice
  • Matthew HibnerTEFull Participation in Practice
  • Nate WigginsCBQuestionable
  • Olaivavega IoaneGFull Participation in Practice

San Francisco 49ers

  • Christian KirkWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Christian McCaffreyRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Deebo Samuel Sr.WRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Demarcus RobinsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Garret WallowLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Kurtis RourkeQuarterbackOut
  • Luke GiffordLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Marques SigleSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Mike EvansWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Mykel WilliamsDEFull Participation in Practice
  • Nate HobbsCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Nick BosaDELimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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