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Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Steelers is the better survivor pick this week

Steelers score 0.454 equity (67.0% win probability) against Ravens at 0.425 — a real gap of 0.029.

BAL team page →PIT team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ INDOpponentvs ATL

61.5%Win prob67.0%

0.425Equity score0.454

−3.5Spread11/11 books−4.5

48.0Game total41.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.003

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 15BAL @ PITnot played yet

Week 18PIT @ BALnot played yet

All-time series: 59 meetings · BAL 26 — PIT 33. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1535.9ELO rating1529.4

#12ELO rank#13

8-9Record10-7

AFC NorthDivisionAFC North

#2Division rank#1

L 2 · W +17 · L 4 · W +24 · L 5Last 5newest firstL 24 · W +2 · L 7 · W +5 · W +13

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.7 · #21vs QB18.8 · #27

23.7 · #23vs RB19.5 · #8

35.7 · #30vs WR35.2 · #26

10.9 · #6vs TE16.6 · #29

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game2.83 (2025)

7.65Pressures / game9

22-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows15-18

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion43.4% · #16

8.9% · #28Play action9.2% · #27

4.4% · #17RPO7.0% · #10

2.8% · #24Screen pass6.6% · #1

2.7% · #30No huddle9.7% · #7

52.4% · #20Shotgun54.2% · #17

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage36.9% · #10

23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)31.4% · #8

28.1% · #25Pressure29.5% · #20

BAL scheme profile →PIT scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

Adisa IsaacLinebackerQuestionable
Aeneas PeeblesDefensive TackleOut
Bilhal KoneCornerbackInjured Reserve
Carson VinsonOffensive TackleOut
Chidobe AwuzieCornerbackQuestionable
Cooper RushQuarterbackOut
Dayton WadeWide ReceiverQuestionable
DeAndre HopkinsWide ReceiverQuestionable
Devontez WalkerWRLimited Participation in Practice
Emery Jones Jr.Offensive TackleOut
Isaiah LikelyTight EndQuestionable
Jaire AlexanderCornerbackOut

Pittsburgh Steelers

Aaron RodgersQuarterbackQuestionable
Alex HighsmithLinebackerOut
Andrus PeatGuardQuestionable
Brandin EcholsCornerbackQuestionable
Brandon JohnsonWide ReceiverQuestionable
Broderick JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable
Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
Calvin Austin IIIWide ReceiverQuestionable
Cameron McCutcheonCornerbackInjured Reserve
Christian KuntzLong SnapperQuestionable
Chuck ClarkSafetyOut
Darius SlayCornerbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)