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Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Ravens is the better survivor pick this week

Ravens score 0.419 equity (61.4% win probability) against Saints at 0.250 — a real gap of 0.170.

BAL team page →NO team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ INDOpponent@ DET

61.4%Win prob26.8%

0.419Equity score0.250

−3.5Spread11/11 books+7.0

48.0Game total50.0

▼ 0.006Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.003

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 2NO @ BALnot played yet

All-time series: 7 meetings · BAL 5 — NO 2. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1535.9ELO rating1432.4

#12ELO rank#26

8-9Record6-11

AFC NorthDivisionNFC South

#2Division rank#4

L 2 · W +17 · L 4 · W +24 · L 5Last 5newest firstL 2 · W +8 · W +23 · W +3 · W +4

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.7 · #21vs QB14.0 · #8

23.7 · #23vs RB20.8 · #13

35.7 · #30vs WR27.8 · #12

10.9 · #6vs TE12.5 · #13

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game2.59 (2025)

7.65Pressures / game8.53

22-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows4-11

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion49.7% · #8

8.9% · #28Play action9.6% · #25

4.4% · #17RPO4.7% · #15

2.8% · #24Screen pass2.7% · #26

2.7% · #30No huddle18.7% · #2

52.4% · #20Shotgun65.7% · #5

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage22.1% · #28

23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)25.6% · #21

28.1% · #25Pressure28.2% · #24

BAL scheme profile →NO scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

Adisa IsaacLinebackerQuestionable
Aeneas PeeblesDefensive TackleOut
Bilhal KoneCornerbackInjured Reserve
Carson VinsonOffensive TackleOut
Chidobe AwuzieCornerbackQuestionable
Cooper RushQuarterbackOut
Dayton WadeWide ReceiverQuestionable
DeAndre HopkinsWide ReceiverQuestionable
Devontez WalkerWRLimited Participation in Practice
Emery Jones Jr.Offensive TackleOut
Isaiah LikelyTight EndQuestionable
Jaire AlexanderCornerbackOut

New Orleans Saints

Alontae TaylorCornerbackQuestionable
Alvin KamaraRBLimited Participation in Practice
Asim RichardsOffensive TackleQuestionable
Audric EstiméRBDid Not Participate In Practice
Barry WesleyOffensive TackleOut
Bryan BreseeDefensive TackleQuestionable
Bub MeansWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Cameron JordanLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Cesar RuizGuardOut
Chase YoungDefensive EndOut
Chris OlaveWide ReceiverOut
Devaughn VeleWide ReceiverQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)