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Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Saints is the better survivor pick this week

Saints score 0.464 equity (60.2% win probability) against Ravens at 0.196 — a real gap of 0.268.

BAL team page →NO team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs JAXOpponentvs CLE

19.6%Win prob60.2%

0.196Equity score0.464

+10.0Spread11/11 books−3.0

39.5Game total42.5

▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.003

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 2NO @ BAL24-17 · NO

All-time series: 8 meetings · BAL 5 — NO 3. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1515.1ELO rating1436.2

#14ELO rank#28

4-4Record2-5

AFC NorthDivisionNFC South

#4Division rank#4

L 26 · L 22 · L 3 · W +7 · W +6Last 5newest firstL 6 · W +7 · L 10 · L 21 · L 8

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

18.1 · #18vs QB—

19.5 · #8vs RB—

35.0 · #21vs WR—

13.5 · #12vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.29 (2026)Sacks / game2.57 (2026)

8.14Pressures / game7.29

23-13Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows4-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion49.7% · #8

8.9% · #28Play action9.6% · #25

4.4% · #17RPO4.7% · #15

2.8% · #24Screen pass2.7% · #26

2.7% · #30No huddle18.7% · #2

52.4% · #20Shotgun65.7% · #5

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage22.1% · #28

23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)25.6% · #21

28.1% · #25Pressure28.2% · #24

BAL scheme profile →NO scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

Adam RandallRBQuestionable
Calais CampbellDTFull Participation in Practice
Jaylinn HawkinsSOut
Joe FagnanoQBFull Participation in Practice
John JenkinsDTFull Participation in Practice
John SimpsonGFull Participation in Practice
Justice HillRBFull Participation in Practice
Lamar JacksonQBOut
Mark AndrewsTEFull Participation in Practice
Matthew HibnerTEFull Participation in Practice
Nate WigginsCBQuestionable
Olaivavega IoaneGFull Participation in Practice

New Orleans Saints

Alvin KamaraRBDid Not Participate In Practice
Asim RichardsTLimited Participation in Practice
Cesar RuizGFull Participation in Practice
Christen MillerDefensive TackleOut
CJ DonaldsonRBLimited Participation in Practice
Davon GodchauxDefensive TackleQuestionable
Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut
Jordyn TysonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Justin ReidSFull Participation in Practice
Kelvin Banks Jr.TLimited Participation in Practice
Martin EmersonCBLimited Participation in Practice
Nathan ShepherdDTFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)