NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Dolphins is the better survivor pick this week

Dolphins score 0.238 equity (26.6% win probability) against Ravens at 0.191 — a real gap of 0.047.

BAL team page →MIA team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs JAXOpponentvs DET
19.9%Win prob26.6%
0.191Equity score0.238
+9.5Spread11/11 books+7.0
39.5Game total50.5
▼ 0.005Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 19 meetings · BAL 12 — MIA 7. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1515.1ELO rating1442.8
#14ELO rank#27
4-4Record1-6
AFC NorthDivisionAFC East
#4Division rank#4
L 26 · L 22 · L 3 · W +7 · W +6Last 5newest firstL 5 · W +3 · L 7 · L 5 · L 14

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

18.1 · #18vs QB20.0 · #24
19.5 · #8vs RB26.5 · #25
35.0 · #21vs WR25.4 · #3
13.5 · #12vs TE19.2 · #26

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.29 (2026)Sacks / game1 (2026)
8.14Pressures / game6.83
23-14Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows7-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion55.9% · #1
8.9% · #28Play action12.9% · #6
4.4% · #17RPO4.4% · #16
2.8% · #24Screen pass5.2% · #4
2.7% · #30No huddle3.1% · #28
52.4% · #20Shotgun57.9% · #13

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage28.4% · #21
23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)33.1% · #5
28.1% · #25Pressure27.2% · #28
BAL scheme profile →MIA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

  • Adam RandallRBQuestionable
  • Calais CampbellDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Jaylinn HawkinsSOut
  • Joe FagnanoQBFull Participation in Practice
  • John JenkinsDTFull Participation in Practice
  • John SimpsonGFull Participation in Practice
  • Justice HillRBFull Participation in Practice
  • Lamar JacksonQBOut
  • Mark AndrewsTEFull Participation in Practice
  • Matthew HibnerTEFull Participation in Practice
  • Nate WigginsCBQuestionable
  • Olaivavega IoaneGFull Participation in Practice

Miami Dolphins

  • A.J. GreenCornerbackOut
  • AJ HenningWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • Alec IngoldFullbackQuestionable
  • Alexander MattisonRunning BackInjured Reserve
  • Andre Carter IILinebackerOut
  • Ashtyn DavisSafetyOut
  • Austin JacksonGuardOut
  • Benito JonesDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Caleb JohnsonLinebackerQuestionable
  • Cedrick Wilson Jr.Wide ReceiverOut
  • Chop RobinsonLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Cornell ArmstrongCornerbackQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

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