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Baltimore Ravens vs Las Vegas Raiders

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Ravens is the better survivor pick this week

Ravens score 0.196 equity (19.6% win probability) against Raiders at 0.189 — a real gap of 0.007.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs JAXOpponent@ SF
19.6%Win prob20.6%
0.196Equity score0.189
+10.0Spread11/11 books+10.0
39.5Game total52.0
▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 12 meetings · BAL 7 — LV 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1515.1ELO rating1432.0
#14ELO rank#29
4-4Record4-4
AFC NorthDivisionAFC West
#4Division rank#3
L 26 · L 22 · L 3 · W +7 · W +6Last 5newest firstW +5 · L 14 · L 3 · L 28 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

18.1 · #18vs QB19.8 · #23
19.5 · #8vs RB25.3 · #21
35.0 · #21vs WR33.8 · #19
13.5 · #12vs TE18.2 · #25

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.29 (2026)Sacks / game2.29 (2026)
8.14Pressures / game11.14
23-13Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows8-14

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion41.4% · #22
8.9% · #28Play action12.4% · #9
4.4% · #17RPO3.2% · #23
2.8% · #24Screen pass4.1% · #12
2.7% · #30No huddle7.4% · #13
52.4% · #20Shotgun54.2% · #19

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage21.9% · #29
23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)22.4% · #26
28.1% · #25Pressure27.8% · #27

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

  • Adam RandallRBQuestionable
  • Calais CampbellDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Jaylinn HawkinsSOut
  • Joe FagnanoQBFull Participation in Practice
  • John JenkinsDTFull Participation in Practice
  • John SimpsonGFull Participation in Practice
  • Justice HillRBFull Participation in Practice
  • Lamar JacksonQBOut
  • Mark AndrewsTEFull Participation in Practice
  • Matthew HibnerTEFull Participation in Practice
  • Nate WigginsCBQuestionable
  • Olaivavega IoaneGFull Participation in Practice

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Adam ButlerDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Aidan O'ConnellQuarterbackOut
  • AJ ColePunterQuestionable
  • Alex CappaGuardQuestionable
  • Andre Carter IIDefensive EndQuestionable
  • Brock BowersTight EndOut
  • Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
  • Caleb RogersGuardOut
  • Charles SnowdenDefensive EndOut
  • Darien PorterCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Darnay HolmesCornerbackOut
  • Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

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