NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Ravens is the better survivor pick this week

Ravens score 0.419 equity (61.4% win probability) against Packers at 0.368 — a real gap of 0.051.

BAL team page →GB team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ INDOpponent@ MIN
61.4%Win prob47.0%
0.419Equity score0.368
−3.5Spread11/11 books+1.5
48.0Game total46.5
▼ 0.006Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.002

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · BAL 3 — GB 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1535.9ELO rating1527.4
#12ELO rank#15
8-9Record9-7-1
AFC NorthDivisionNFC North
#2Division rank#2
L 2 · W +17 · L 4 · W +24 · L 5Last 5newest firstL 4 · L 13 · L 17 · L 6 · L 8

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.7 · #21vs QB15.0 · #12
23.7 · #23vs RB21.9 · #17
35.7 · #30vs WR31.3 · #18
10.9 · #6vs TE12.1 · #10

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game2.06 (2025)
7.65Pressures / game10
22-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows17-15-1

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion44.1% · #15
8.9% · #28Play action11.7% · #12
4.4% · #17RPO7.9% · #4
2.8% · #24Screen pass3.3% · #18
2.7% · #30No huddle7.2% · #14
52.4% · #20Shotgun52.2% · #21

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage21.2% · #31
23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)21.9% · #28
28.1% · #25Pressure30.7% · #16
BAL scheme profile →GB scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

  • Adisa IsaacLinebackerQuestionable
  • Aeneas PeeblesDefensive TackleOut
  • Bilhal KoneCornerbackInjured Reserve
  • Carson VinsonOffensive TackleOut
  • Chidobe AwuzieCornerbackQuestionable
  • Cooper RushQuarterbackOut
  • Dayton WadeWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • DeAndre HopkinsWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • Devontez WalkerWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Emery Jones Jr.Offensive TackleOut
  • Isaiah LikelyTight EndQuestionable
  • Jaire AlexanderCornerbackOut

Green Bay Packers

  • Aaron BanksGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Anthony BeltonOffensive TackleOut
  • Barryn SorrellLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Bo MeltonCornerbackQuestionable
  • Brandon McManusPlace KickerOut
  • Brenton Cox Jr.Defensive EndQuestionable
  • Christian WatsonWide ReceiverOut
  • Collin OliverDefensive EndOut
  • Devonte WyattDTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Donovan JenningsGuardOut
  • Dontayvion WicksWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • Edgerrin CooperLinebackerOut

Relevant to this matchup

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