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Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Ravens is the better survivor pick this week

Ravens score 0.419 equity (61.4% win probability) against Broncos at 0.340 — a real gap of 0.080.

BAL team page →DEN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ INDOpponent@ KC

61.4%Win prob43.2%

0.419Equity score0.340

−3.5Spread11/11 books+2.5

48.0Game total43.5

▼ 0.006Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.003

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 16 meetings · BAL 11 — DEN 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1535.9ELO rating1588.3

#12ELO rank#4

8-9Record14-3

AFC NorthDivisionAFC West

#2Division rank#1

L 2 · W +17 · L 4 · W +24 · L 5Last 5newest firstL 3 · W +3 · W +16 · W +7 · L 14

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.7 · #21vs QB14.2 · #9

23.7 · #23vs RB17.0 · #1

35.7 · #30vs WR27.0 · #9

10.9 · #6vs TE13.7 · #16

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game4 (2025)

7.65Pressures / game13.05

22-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows10-11

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion39.9% · #25

8.9% · #28Play action12.5% · #7

4.4% · #17RPO7.0% · #9

2.8% · #24Screen pass5.5% · #3

2.7% · #30No huddle11.0% · #5

52.4% · #20Shotgun54.3% · #16

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage44.4% · #1

23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)32.8% · #6

28.1% · #25Pressure33.7% · #5

BAL scheme profile →DEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

Adisa IsaacLinebackerQuestionable
Aeneas PeeblesDefensive TackleOut
Bilhal KoneCornerbackInjured Reserve
Carson VinsonOffensive TackleOut
Chidobe AwuzieCornerbackQuestionable
Cooper RushQuarterbackOut
Dayton WadeWide ReceiverQuestionable
DeAndre HopkinsWide ReceiverQuestionable
Devontez WalkerWRLimited Participation in Practice
Emery Jones Jr.Offensive TackleOut
Isaiah LikelyTight EndQuestionable
Jaire AlexanderCornerbackOut

Denver Broncos

Alex ForsythCenterOut
Alex SingletonLinebackerOut
Cody SchraderRunning BackOut
D.J. JonesDefensive TackleOut
Delarrin Turner-YellSafetyQuestionable
Dre GreenlawLinebackerOut
Drew SandersLinebackerQuestionable
Elijah MooreWide ReceiverOut
Evan EngramTight EndOut
Frank CrumOffensive TackleOut
Garret WallowLinebackerQuestionable
Geron ChristianOffensive TackleOut

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)