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Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Ravens is the better survivor pick this week

Ravens score 0.425 equity (61.5% win probability) against Browns at 0.215 — a real gap of 0.210.

BAL team page →CLE team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ INDOpponent@ JAX

61.5%Win prob22.4%

0.425Equity score0.215

−3.5Spread11/11 books+8.5

48.0Game total40.0

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 6BAL @ CLEnot played yet

Week 16CLE @ BALnot played yet

All-time series: 54 meetings · BAL 39 — CLE 15. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1535.9ELO rating1419.8

#12ELO rank#27

8-9Record5-12

AFC NorthDivisionAFC North

#2Division rank#4

L 2 · W +17 · L 4 · W +24 · L 5Last 5newest firstW +2 · W +7 · L 3 · L 28 · L 2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.7 · #21vs QB13.3 · #5

23.7 · #23vs RB22.8 · #19

35.7 · #30vs WR26.9 · #8

10.9 · #6vs TE12.1 · #9

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game3.12 (2025)

7.65Pressures / game9.29

22-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows6-9

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion39.3% · #27

8.9% · #28Play action11.2% · #15

4.4% · #17RPO3.0% · #25

2.8% · #24Screen pass4.2% · #11

2.7% · #30No huddle7.5% · #12

52.4% · #20Shotgun55.8% · #14

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage41.3% · #5

23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)28.1% · #15

28.1% · #25Pressure35.1% · #1

BAL scheme profile →CLE scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

Adisa IsaacLinebackerQuestionable
Aeneas PeeblesDefensive TackleOut
Bilhal KoneCornerbackInjured Reserve
Carson VinsonOffensive TackleOut
Chidobe AwuzieCornerbackQuestionable
Cooper RushQuarterbackOut
Dayton WadeWide ReceiverQuestionable
DeAndre HopkinsWide ReceiverQuestionable
Devontez WalkerWRLimited Participation in Practice
Emery Jones Jr.Offensive TackleOut
Isaiah LikelyTight EndQuestionable
Jaire AlexanderCornerbackOut

Cleveland Browns

Adin HuntingtonDefensive EndQuestionable
Alex WrightDefensive EndOut
Anthony KendallCornerbackInjured Reserve
Blake WhiteheartTight EndQuestionable
Brenden BatesTight EndOut
Cam RobinsonOffensive TackleQuestionable
Cameron McGroneLinebackerQuestionable
Carson SchwesingerLBFull Participation in Practice
Cedric TillmanWide ReceiverOut
Cornelius LucasOffensive TackleOut
David NjokuTight EndOut
Dawand JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)