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Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Browns is the better survivor pick this week

Browns score 0.289 equity (40.1% win probability) against Ravens at 0.195 — a real gap of 0.094.

BAL team page →CLE team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs JAXOpponent@ NO

19.5%Win prob40.1%

0.195Equity score0.289

+10.0Spread11/11 books+3.0

39.5Game total42.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 6BAL @ CLE10-13 · CLE

Week 16CLE @ BALnot played yet

All-time series: 55 meetings · BAL 39 — CLE 16. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1515.1ELO rating1475.0

#14ELO rank#18

4-4Record5-3

AFC NorthDivisionAFC North

#4Division rank#3

L 26 · L 22 · L 3 · W +7 · W +6Last 5newest firstL 21 · W +3 · W +3 · L 5 · W +3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

18.1 · #18vs QB13.4 · #7

19.5 · #8vs RB21.1 · #14

35.0 · #21vs WR29.3 · #11

13.5 · #12vs TE14.9 · #20

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.29 (2026)Sacks / game2.86 (2026)

8.14Pressures / game8.71

23-13Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows7-9

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion39.3% · #27

8.9% · #28Play action11.2% · #15

4.4% · #17RPO3.0% · #25

2.8% · #24Screen pass4.2% · #11

2.7% · #30No huddle7.5% · #12

52.4% · #20Shotgun55.8% · #14

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage41.3% · #5

23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)28.1% · #15

28.1% · #25Pressure35.1% · #1

BAL scheme profile →CLE scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

Adam RandallRBQuestionable
Calais CampbellDTFull Participation in Practice
Jaylinn HawkinsSOut
Joe FagnanoQBFull Participation in Practice
John JenkinsDTFull Participation in Practice
John SimpsonGFull Participation in Practice
Justice HillRBFull Participation in Practice
Lamar JacksonQBOut
Mark AndrewsTEFull Participation in Practice
Matthew HibnerTEFull Participation in Practice
Nate WigginsCBQuestionable
Olaivavega IoaneGFull Participation in Practice

Cleveland Browns

Austin BarberTDid Not Participate In Practice
Carsen RyanTight EndOut
Carson SchwesingerLBLimited Participation in Practice
Denzel BostonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Deshaun WatsonQBDid Not Participate In Practice
Dillon GabrielQuarterbackInjured Reserve
Dylan SampsonRunning BackInjured Reserve
Elgton JenkinsCLimited Participation in Practice
Jared VerseDELimited Participation in Practice
Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLinebackerOut
Kalia DavisDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
Maliek CollinsDTDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)