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Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Bengals is the better survivor pick this week

Bengals score 0.451 equity (60.6% win probability) against Ravens at 0.195 — a real gap of 0.256.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs JAXOpponent@ ATL
19.5%Win prob60.6%
0.195Equity score0.451
+10.0Spread11/11 books−3.0
39.5Game total52.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.009

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 7CIN @ BAL35-13 · CIN
Week 17BAL @ CINnot played yet

All-time series: 56 meetings · BAL 30 — CIN 26. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1515.1ELO rating1514.0
#14ELO rank#15
4-4Record5-2
AFC NorthDivisionAFC North
#4Division rank#2
L 26 · L 22 · L 3 · W +7 · W +6Last 5newest firstW +7 · W +22 · W +7 · L 5 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

18.1 · #18vs QB17.8 · #15
19.5 · #8vs RB19.4 · #7
35.0 · #21vs WR32.8 · #16
13.5 · #12vs TE16.5 · #22

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.29 (2026)Sacks / game3.5 (2026)
8.14Pressures / game10.67
23-13Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows16-10

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion42.1% · #20
8.9% · #28Play action8.5% · #30
4.4% · #17RPO7.3% · #6
2.8% · #24Screen pass3.3% · #19
2.7% · #30No huddle2.5% · #31
52.4% · #20Shotgun67.0% · #3

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage36.6% · #11
23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)17.6% · #32
28.1% · #25Pressure29.4% · #22

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

  • Adam RandallRBQuestionable
  • Calais CampbellDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Jaylinn HawkinsSOut
  • Joe FagnanoQBFull Participation in Practice
  • John JenkinsDTFull Participation in Practice
  • John SimpsonGFull Participation in Practice
  • Justice HillRBFull Participation in Practice
  • Lamar JacksonQBOut
  • Mark AndrewsTEFull Participation in Practice
  • Matthew HibnerTEFull Participation in Practice
  • Nate WigginsCBQuestionable
  • Olaivavega IoaneGFull Participation in Practice

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Amarius MimsOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • B.J. HillDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Cam GrandyTight EndQuestionable
  • Cam SampleDefensive EndOut
  • Cam Taylor-BrittCornerbackQuestionable
  • Cedric JohnsonDEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Charlie JonesWide ReceiverOut
  • Cordell VolsonGuardOut
  • Dalton RisnerGuardQuestionable
  • DJ Turner IICBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Drew SampleTight EndQuestionable
  • Dylan FairchildGuardOut

Relevant to this matchup

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