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Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Bengals is the better survivor pick this week

Bengals score 0.436 equity (64.3% win probability) against Ravens at 0.425 — a real gap of 0.011.

BAL team page →CIN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ INDOpponentvs TB

61.5%Win prob64.3%

0.425Equity score0.436

−3.5Spread11/11 books−3.5

48.0Game total50.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 7CIN @ BALnot played yet

Week 17BAL @ CINnot played yet

All-time series: 55 meetings · BAL 30 — CIN 25. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1535.9ELO rating1474.0

#12ELO rank#22

8-9Record6-11

AFC NorthDivisionAFC North

#2Division rank#3

L 2 · W +17 · L 4 · W +24 · L 5Last 5newest firstL 2 · W +23 · W +24 · L 24 · L 5

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.7 · #21vs QB18.4 · #26

23.7 · #23vs RB28.6 · #32

35.7 · #30vs WR25.3 · #2

10.9 · #6vs TE20.9 · #31

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game2 (2025)

7.65Pressures / game7.12

22-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows16-10

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion42.1% · #20

8.9% · #28Play action8.5% · #30

4.4% · #17RPO7.3% · #6

2.8% · #24Screen pass3.3% · #19

2.7% · #30No huddle2.5% · #31

52.4% · #20Shotgun67.0% · #3

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage36.6% · #11

23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)17.6% · #32

28.1% · #25Pressure29.4% · #22

BAL scheme profile →CIN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

Adisa IsaacLinebackerQuestionable
Aeneas PeeblesDefensive TackleOut
Bilhal KoneCornerbackInjured Reserve
Carson VinsonOffensive TackleOut
Chidobe AwuzieCornerbackQuestionable
Cooper RushQuarterbackOut
Dayton WadeWide ReceiverQuestionable
DeAndre HopkinsWide ReceiverQuestionable
Devontez WalkerWRLimited Participation in Practice
Emery Jones Jr.Offensive TackleOut
Isaiah LikelyTight EndQuestionable
Jaire AlexanderCornerbackOut

Cincinnati Bengals

Amarius MimsOffensive TackleQuestionable
B.J. HillDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam GrandyTight EndQuestionable
Cam SampleDefensive EndOut
Cam Taylor-BrittCornerbackQuestionable
Cedric JohnsonDefensive EndQuestionable
Charlie JonesWide ReceiverOut
Cordell VolsonGuardOut
Dalton RisnerGuardQuestionable
DJ Turner IICornerbackQuestionable
Drew SampleTight EndQuestionable
Dylan FairchildGuardOut

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)