Compare
Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints
Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.
Week 9 verdict
Saints is the better survivor pick this week
Saints score 0.461 equity (59.9% win probability) against Falcons at 0.299 — a real gap of 0.162.
This week
2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores
Season series
2026 scheduled meetings
All-time series: 55 meetings · ATL 23 — NO 32. See the full head-to-head history →
Power rating & record
elo through 2026 · week 9
Defense vs position
ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher
Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only
tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market
Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.
Scheme tendencies — offense
ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate
Scheme tendencies — defense
nflverse participation · 2025 season
Injury report
2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly
Atlanta Falcons
- A.J. Terrell Jr.CornerbackInjured Reserve
- Beaux CollinsWRFull Participation in Practice
- Billy Bowman Jr.CBFull Participation in Practice
- Brian RobinsonRBLimited Participation in Practice
- Cameron WilliamsTFull Participation in Practice
- Cooper RushQuarterbackOut
- Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
- Divine DeabloLBLimited Participation in Practice
- Ethan OnianwaOffensive TackleOut
- Jake MatthewsOffensive TackleQuestionable
- James Pearce Jr.DEFull Participation in Practice
- Jared IveyLinebackerOut
New Orleans Saints
- Alvin KamaraRBDid Not Participate In Practice
- Asim RichardsTLimited Participation in Practice
- Cesar RuizGFull Participation in Practice
- Christen MillerDefensive TackleOut
- CJ DonaldsonRBLimited Participation in Practice
- Davon GodchauxDefensive TackleQuestionable
- Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut
- Jordyn TysonWRLimited Participation in Practice
- Justin ReidSFull Participation in Practice
- Kelvin Banks Jr.TLimited Participation in Practice
- Martin EmersonCBLimited Participation in Practice
- Nathan ShepherdDTFull Participation in Practice
Relevant to this matchup
- Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
- The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
- 2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
- 2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
- 2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)