NFL Survivor Edge

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Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Rams is the better survivor pick this week

Rams score 0.482 equity (66.7% win probability) against Falcons at 0.300 — a real gap of 0.182.

ATL team page →LA team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs CINOpponent@ WAS
39.3%Win prob66.7%
0.300Equity score0.482
+3.0Spread11/11 books−4.5
52.5Game total48.5
▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 18 meetings · ATL 8 — LA 10. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1470.1ELO rating1543.5
#21ELO rank#10
3-5Record4-4
NFC SouthDivisionNFC West
#3Division rank#3
L 16 · W +9 · L 8 · L 7 · W +21Last 5newest firstW +15 · W +14 · L 2 · L 3 · W +4

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

15.6 · #11vs QB16.0 · #12
27.1 · #26vs RB19.9 · #10
30.1 · #12vs WR26.8 · #5
13.9 · #14vs TE10.6 · #6

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.43 (2026)Sacks / game1.43 (2026)
11.14Pressures / game7.57
9-7Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows17-17

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

53.0% · #3Pre-snap motion50.6% · #4
9.3% · #26Play action15.8% · #1
3.7% · #19RPO0.4% · #32
3.8% · #14Screen pass3.0% · #21
9.5% · #8No huddle6.0% · #17
66.0% · #4Shotgun34.8% · #32

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

33.4% · #12Man coverage27.0% · #23
34.9% · #2Blitz (5+ rushers)20.8% · #29
31.3% · #13Pressure32.1% · #9
ATL scheme profile →LA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Atlanta Falcons

  • A.J. Terrell Jr.CornerbackInjured Reserve
  • Beaux CollinsWRFull Participation in Practice
  • Billy Bowman Jr.CBFull Participation in Practice
  • Brian RobinsonRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Cameron WilliamsTFull Participation in Practice
  • Cooper RushQuarterbackOut
  • Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Divine DeabloLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Ethan OnianwaOffensive TackleOut
  • Jake MatthewsOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • James Pearce Jr.DEFull Participation in Practice
  • Jared IveyLinebackerOut

Los Angeles Rams

  • Bill MurrayGuardOut
  • CJ DanielsWide ReceiverOut
  • Colby ParkinsonTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Grant StuardLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jaylen WatsonCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joe CardonaLSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Jordan WhittingtonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Josaiah StewartLinebackerQuestionable
  • Kam CurlSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kamren KinchensSafetyOut
  • Larrell MurchisonDefensive EndOut
  • Matthew StaffordQBFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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