NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Atlanta Falcons vs Cleveland Browns

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Falcons is the better survivor pick this week

Falcons score 0.292 equity (39.5% win probability) against Browns at 0.286 — a real gap of 0.006.

ATL team page →CLE team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs CINOpponent@ NO
39.5%Win prob39.8%
0.292Equity score0.286
+3.0Spread11/11 books+3.0
52.5Game total42.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.003

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 14ATL @ CLEnot played yet

All-time series: 6 meetings · ATL 2 — CLE 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1470.1ELO rating1475.0
#21ELO rank#18
3-5Record5-3
NFC SouthDivisionAFC North
#3Division rank#3
L 16 · W +9 · L 8 · L 7 · W +21Last 5newest firstL 21 · W +3 · W +3 · L 5 · W +3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

15.6 · #11vs QB13.4 · #7
27.1 · #26vs RB21.1 · #14
30.1 · #12vs WR29.3 · #11
13.9 · #14vs TE14.9 · #20

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.43 (2026)Sacks / game2.86 (2026)
11.14Pressures / game8.71
9-7Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows7-9

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

53.0% · #3Pre-snap motion39.3% · #27
9.3% · #26Play action11.2% · #15
3.7% · #19RPO3.0% · #25
3.8% · #14Screen pass4.2% · #11
9.5% · #8No huddle7.5% · #12
66.0% · #4Shotgun55.8% · #14

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

33.4% · #12Man coverage41.3% · #5
34.9% · #2Blitz (5+ rushers)28.1% · #15
31.3% · #13Pressure35.1% · #1
ATL scheme profile →CLE scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Atlanta Falcons

  • A.J. Terrell Jr.CornerbackInjured Reserve
  • Beaux CollinsWRFull Participation in Practice
  • Billy Bowman Jr.CBFull Participation in Practice
  • Brian RobinsonRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Cameron WilliamsTFull Participation in Practice
  • Cooper RushQuarterbackOut
  • Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Divine DeabloLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Ethan OnianwaOffensive TackleOut
  • Jake MatthewsOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • James Pearce Jr.DEFull Participation in Practice
  • Jared IveyLinebackerOut

Cleveland Browns

  • Austin BarberTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Carsen RyanTight EndOut
  • Carson SchwesingerLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Denzel BostonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Deshaun WatsonQBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dillon GabrielQuarterbackInjured Reserve
  • Dylan SampsonRunning BackInjured Reserve
  • Elgton JenkinsCLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jared VerseDELimited Participation in Practice
  • Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLinebackerOut
  • Kalia DavisDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Maliek CollinsDTDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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