NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Atlanta Falcons vs Cincinnati Bengals

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Falcons play Bengals in Week 9

They face each other, so only one can be used this week. On real de-vigged market prices CIN carries the higher survivor equity score.

ATL team page →CIN team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs CINOpponent@ ATL
39.4%Win prob60.6%
0.291Equity score0.459
+3.0Spread11/11 books−3.0
52.5Game total52.5
▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.000

Head-to-head this week

week 9 · Bernabeu

Matchup
CIN @ ATL
Spread (home)
+3.0 (11 books)
Total
52.5 (11 books)
Kickoff
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:30

Opened ATL +4.5, now ATL +3.0 · moved 1.5 toward ATL · Total 49.3 → 52.5 (+3.3)(244 snapshots)

No in-horizon weather forecast stored for this game yet.

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 9CIN @ ATLnot played yet

All-time series: 6 meetings · ATL 3 — CIN 3. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1470.1ELO rating1514.0
#21ELO rank#15
3-5Record5-2
NFC SouthDivisionAFC North
#3Division rank#2
L 16 · W +9 · L 8 · L 7 · W +21Last 5newest firstW +7 · W +22 · W +7 · L 5 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

15.6 · #11vs QB17.8 · #15
27.1 · #26vs RB19.4 · #7
30.1 · #12vs WR32.8 · #16
13.9 · #14vs TE16.5 · #22

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.43 (2026)Sacks / game3.5 (2026)
11.14Pressures / game10.67
9-7Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows16-10

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

53.0% · #3Pre-snap motion42.1% · #20
9.3% · #26Play action8.5% · #30
3.7% · #19RPO7.3% · #6
3.8% · #14Screen pass3.3% · #19
9.5% · #8No huddle2.5% · #31
66.0% · #4Shotgun67.0% · #3

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

33.4% · #12Man coverage36.6% · #11
34.9% · #2Blitz (5+ rushers)17.6% · #32
31.3% · #13Pressure29.4% · #22
ATL scheme profile →CIN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Atlanta Falcons

  • A.J. Terrell Jr.CornerbackInjured Reserve
  • Beaux CollinsWRFull Participation in Practice
  • Billy Bowman Jr.CBFull Participation in Practice
  • Brian RobinsonRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Cameron WilliamsTFull Participation in Practice
  • Cooper RushQuarterbackOut
  • Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Divine DeabloLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Ethan OnianwaOffensive TackleOut
  • Jake MatthewsOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • James Pearce Jr.DEFull Participation in Practice
  • Jared IveyLinebackerOut

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Amarius MimsOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • B.J. HillDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Cam GrandyTight EndQuestionable
  • Cam SampleDefensive EndOut
  • Cam Taylor-BrittCornerbackQuestionable
  • Cedric JohnsonDEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Charlie JonesWide ReceiverOut
  • Cordell VolsonGuardOut
  • Dalton RisnerGuardQuestionable
  • DJ Turner IICBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Drew SampleTight EndQuestionable
  • Dylan FairchildGuardOut

Relevant to this matchup

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