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Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

49ers is the better survivor pick this week

49ers score 0.553 equity (79.3% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.209 — a real gap of 0.343.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ SEAOpponentvs LV
22.8%Win prob79.3%
0.209Equity score0.553
+8.5Spread10/11 books−10.0
39.5Game total52.0
▲ 0.002Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 3ARI @ SF30-36 · SF
Week 18SF @ ARInot played yet

All-time series: 51 meetings · ARI 22 — SF 29. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1431.0ELO rating1575.5
#30ELO rank#3
3-5Record6-1
NFC WestDivisionNFC West
#4Division rank#1
W +3 · L 14 · W +2 · L 24 · L 12Last 5newest firstL 9 · W +6 · W +3 · W +10 · W +6

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

22.0 · #27vs QB—
20.8 · #13vs RB—
33.5 · #17vs WR—
15.4 · #21vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2 (2026)Sacks / game2.14 (2026)
6.86Pressures / game9.71
3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows24-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion55.1% · #2
13.8% · #3Play action10.8% · #17
2.0% · #26RPO0.6% · #31
4.7% · #8Screen pass3.0% · #23
9.9% · #6No huddle3.7% · #26
59.2% · #9Shotgun45.0% · #27

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage26.6% · #24
27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)22.6% · #25
25.7% · #29Pressure23.2% · #31

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

  • Bam KnightRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Budda BakerSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Hjalte FroholdtCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaac SeumaloGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaiah AdamsGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jacoby BrissettQBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
  • Jayden WilliamsTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
  • Jon Gaines IIGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Josh SweatLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve

San Francisco 49ers

  • Christian KirkWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Christian McCaffreyRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Deebo Samuel Sr.WRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Demarcus RobinsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Garret WallowLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Kurtis RourkeQuarterbackOut
  • Luke GiffordLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Marques SigleSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Mike EvansWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Mykel WilliamsDEFull Participation in Practice
  • Nate HobbsCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Nick BosaDELimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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