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Arizona Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Steelers is the better survivor pick this week

Steelers score 0.459 equity (67.2% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.199 — a real gap of 0.260.

ARI team page →PIT team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LACOpponentvs ATL

19.9%Win prob67.2%

0.199Equity score0.459

+9.5Spread11/11 books−5.0

47.5Game total41.5

▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · ARI 2 — PIT 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1386.3ELO rating1529.4

#29ELO rank#13

3-14Record10-7

NFC WestDivisionAFC North

#4Division rank#1

L 17 · L 23 · L 7 · L 20 · L 28Last 5newest firstL 24 · W +2 · L 7 · W +5 · W +13

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.0 · #19vs QB18.8 · #27

26.9 · #30vs RB19.5 · #8

30.2 · #15vs WR35.2 · #26

16.9 · #30vs TE16.6 · #29

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game2.83 (2025)

6.82Pressures / game9

3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows15-18

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion43.4% · #16

13.8% · #3Play action9.2% · #27

2.0% · #26RPO7.0% · #10

4.7% · #8Screen pass6.6% · #1

9.9% · #6No huddle9.7% · #7

59.2% · #9Shotgun54.2% · #17

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage36.9% · #10

27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)31.4% · #8

25.7% · #29Pressure29.5% · #20

ARI scheme profile →PIT scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

Blake GillikinPFull Participation in Practice
Dadrion Taylor-DemersonSDid Not Participate In Practice
Garrett WilliamsCBLimited Participation in Practice
Isaiah AdamsGDid Not Participate In Practice
James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
Jeremiyah LoveRBLimited Participation in Practice
Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
Josh SweatLBLimited Participation in Practice
Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
PJ MustipherDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
Will JohnsonCBFull Participation in Practice

Pittsburgh Steelers

Aaron RodgersQuarterbackQuestionable
Alex HighsmithLinebackerOut
Andrus PeatGuardQuestionable
Brandin EcholsCornerbackQuestionable
Brandon JohnsonWide ReceiverQuestionable
Broderick JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable
Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
Calvin Austin IIIWide ReceiverQuestionable
Cameron McCutcheonCornerbackInjured Reserve
Christian KuntzLong SnapperQuestionable
Chuck ClarkSafetyOut
Darius SlayCornerbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)