NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Giants is the better survivor pick this week

Giants score 0.439 equity (61.1% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.200 — a real gap of 0.238.

ARI team page →NYG team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ SEAOpponent@ PHI
22.6%Win prob61.1%
0.200Equity score0.439
+8.5Spread11/11 books−3.0
39.5Game total38.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 4ARI @ NYG24-36 · NYG

All-time series: 18 meetings · ARI 9 — NYG 9. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1431.0ELO rating1450.6
#30ELO rank#25
3-5Record4-2-1
NFC WestDivisionNFC East
#4Division rank#1
W +3 · L 14 · W +2 · L 24 · L 12Last 5newest firstW +6 · L 7 · T 0 · W +12 · W +5

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

22.0 · #27vs QB—
20.8 · #13vs RB—
33.5 · #17vs WR—
15.4 · #21vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2 (2026)Sacks / game1.29 (2026)
6.86Pressures / game6.43
3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows4-19

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion30.8% · #32
13.8% · #3Play action10.8% · #18
2.0% · #26RPO9.3% · #2
4.7% · #8Screen pass3.1% · #20
9.9% · #6No huddle17.4% · #3
59.2% · #9Shotgun64.8% · #6

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage40.3% · #7
27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)30.5% · #9
25.7% · #29Pressure30.2% · #17
ARI scheme profile →NYG scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

  • Bam KnightRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Budda BakerSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Hjalte FroholdtCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaac SeumaloGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaiah AdamsGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jacoby BrissettQBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
  • Jayden WilliamsTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
  • Jon Gaines IIGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Josh SweatLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve

New York Giants

  • Abdul CarterLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Andrew ThomasTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Bobby Jamison-TravisDefensive TackleOut
  • Brian BurnsLinebackerQuestionable
  • Cam SkatteboRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Charlie JonesWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Colton HoodCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Deonte BanksCornerbackOut
  • DJ ReaderDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Jason PinnockSafetyOut
  • Jaxson DartQuarterbackOut
  • Jermaine EluemunorTLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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