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Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Giants is the better survivor pick this week

Giants score 0.324 equity (40.7% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.199 — a real gap of 0.125.

ARI team page →NYG team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LACOpponentvs DAL

19.9%Win prob40.7%

0.199Equity score0.324

+9.5Spread11/11 books+3.0

47.5Game total48.0

▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 4ARI @ NYGnot played yet

All-time series: 17 meetings · ARI 9 — NYG 8. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1386.3ELO rating1390.8

#29ELO rank#28

3-14Record4-13

NFC WestDivisionNFC East

#4Division rank#4

L 17 · L 23 · L 7 · L 20 · L 28Last 5newest firstW +17 · W +24 · L 3 · L 8 · L 18

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.0 · #19vs QB18.3 · #25

26.9 · #30vs RB25.8 · #29

30.2 · #15vs WR33.7 · #24

16.9 · #30vs TE11.4 · #8

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game2.24 (2025)

6.82Pressures / game8.41

3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows3-18

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion30.8% · #32

13.8% · #3Play action10.8% · #18

2.0% · #26RPO9.3% · #2

4.7% · #8Screen pass3.1% · #20

9.9% · #6No huddle17.4% · #3

59.2% · #9Shotgun64.8% · #6

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage40.3% · #7

27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)30.5% · #9

25.7% · #29Pressure30.2% · #17

ARI scheme profile →NYG scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

Blake GillikinPFull Participation in Practice
Dadrion Taylor-DemersonSDid Not Participate In Practice
Garrett WilliamsCBLimited Participation in Practice
Isaiah AdamsGDid Not Participate In Practice
James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
Jeremiyah LoveRBLimited Participation in Practice
Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
Josh SweatLBLimited Participation in Practice
Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
PJ MustipherDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
Will JohnsonCBFull Participation in Practice

New York Giants

Andrew ThomasTFull Participation in Practice
Anthony Johnson Jr.SafetyOut
Art GreenCornerbackQuestionable
Bryan HudsonCFull Participation in Practice
Bryce Ford-WheatonWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Cam SkatteboRunning BackOut
Chris BoardLinebackerQuestionable
Cor'Dale FlottCornerbackOut
Daniel BellingerTight EndQuestionable
Dante MillerRunning BackOut
Darius AlexanderDefensive TackleOut
Darius MuasauLinebackerQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)