NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Arizona Cardinals vs Minnesota Vikings

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Vikings is the better survivor pick this week

Vikings score 0.382 equity (53.0% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.199 — a real gap of 0.183.

ARI team page →MIN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LACOpponentvs GB
19.9%Win prob53.0%
0.199Equity score0.382
+9.5Spread11/11 books−1.5
47.5Game total46.5
▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.002

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 14 meetings · ARI 4 — MIN 10. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1386.3ELO rating1547.9
#29ELO rank#10
3-14Record9-8
NFC WestDivisionNFC North
#4Division rank#4
L 17 · L 23 · L 7 · L 20 · L 28Last 5newest firstW +13 · W +13 · W +3 · W +8 · W +31

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.0 · #19vs QB11.1 · #1
26.9 · #30vs RB19.6 · #9
30.2 · #15vs WR23.7 · #1
16.9 · #30vs TE10.7 · #5

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game2.88 (2025)
6.82Pressures / game9.06
3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows11-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion41.3% · #23
13.8% · #3Play action12.5% · #8
2.0% · #26RPO3.7% · #20
4.7% · #8Screen pass4.2% · #10
9.9% · #6No huddle6.1% · #15
59.2% · #9Shotgun45.6% · #26

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage19.0% · #32
27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)46.2% · #1
25.7% · #29Pressure34.1% · #4
ARI scheme profile →MIN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

  • Blake GillikinPFull Participation in Practice
  • Dadrion Taylor-DemersonSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Garrett WilliamsCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Isaiah AdamsGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
  • Jeremiyah LoveRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
  • Josh SweatLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • PJ MustipherDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Will JohnsonCBFull Participation in Practice

Minnesota Vikings

  • Aaron Jones Sr.Running BackQuestionable
  • Adam ThielenWide ReceiverOut
  • Andrew Van GinkelLinebackerOut
  • Austin KeysLinebackerOut
  • Ben SimsTight EndOut
  • Ben YurosekTight EndOut
  • Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
  • Brian O'NeillOffensive TackleOut
  • Caleb TiernanTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Chaz ChamblissLinebackerOut
  • Christian DarrisawOffensive TackleOut
  • Corey KinerRunning BackOut

Relevant to this matchup

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