NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Chargers is the better survivor pick this week

Chargers score 0.270 equity (33.0% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.200 — a real gap of 0.070.

ARI team page →LAC team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ SEAOpponentvs HOU
22.6%Win prob33.0%
0.200Equity score0.270
+8.5Spread11/11 books+5.0
39.5Game total40.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 1ARI @ LAC26-14 · ARI

All-time series: 9 meetings · ARI 4 — LAC 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1431.0ELO rating1462.4
#30ELO rank#23
3-5Record0-7
NFC WestDivisionAFC West
#4Division rank#4
W +3 · L 14 · W +2 · L 24 · L 12Last 5newest firstL 15 · L 16 · L 6 · L 7 · L 8

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

22.0 · #27vs QB13.5 · #8
20.8 · #13vs RB23.9 · #19
33.5 · #17vs WR30.6 · #14
15.4 · #21vs TE10.2 · #5

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2 (2026)Sacks / game1.83 (2026)
6.86Pressures / game7.67
3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows15-16

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion42.2% · #19
13.8% · #3Play action11.5% · #14
2.0% · #26RPO2.0% · #27
4.7% · #8Screen pass2.8% · #25
9.9% · #6No huddle3.9% · #25
59.2% · #9Shotgun59.0% · #10

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage23.6% · #27
27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)22.1% · #27
25.7% · #29Pressure31.3% · #12
ARI scheme profile →LAC scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

  • Bam KnightRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Budda BakerSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Hjalte FroholdtCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaac SeumaloGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaiah AdamsGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jacoby BrissettQBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
  • Jayden WilliamsTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
  • Jon Gaines IIGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Josh SweatLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Benjamin St-JusteCornerbackOut
  • Bobby HartOffensive TackleOut
  • Bradley BozemanCenterOut
  • Brenen ThompsonWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Bud DupreeDELimited Participation in Practice
  • Cam HartCornerbackOut
  • Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Daiyan HenleyLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • David NjokuTELimited Participation in Practice
  • Deane LeonardCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Del'Shawn PhillipsLinebackerOut
  • Denzel PerrymanLBLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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