NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Arizona Cardinals vs Las Vegas Raiders

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Cardinals is the better survivor pick this week

Cardinals score 0.200 equity (22.6% win probability) against Raiders at 0.188 — a real gap of 0.012.

ARI team page →LV team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ SEAOpponent@ SF
22.6%Win prob20.6%
0.200Equity score0.188
+8.5Spread11/11 books+10.0
39.5Game total52.0
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 17LV @ ARInot played yet

All-time series: 7 meetings · ARI 4 — LV 3. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1431.0ELO rating1432.0
#30ELO rank#29
3-5Record4-4
NFC WestDivisionAFC West
#4Division rank#3
W +3 · L 14 · W +2 · L 24 · L 12Last 5newest firstW +5 · L 14 · L 3 · L 28 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

22.0 · #27vs QB19.8 · #23
20.8 · #13vs RB25.3 · #21
33.5 · #17vs WR33.8 · #19
15.4 · #21vs TE18.2 · #25

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2 (2026)Sacks / game2.29 (2026)
6.86Pressures / game11.14
3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows8-14

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion41.4% · #22
13.8% · #3Play action12.4% · #9
2.0% · #26RPO3.2% · #23
4.7% · #8Screen pass4.1% · #12
9.9% · #6No huddle7.4% · #13
59.2% · #9Shotgun54.2% · #19

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage21.9% · #29
27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)22.4% · #26
25.7% · #29Pressure27.8% · #27
ARI scheme profile →LV scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

  • Bam KnightRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Budda BakerSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Hjalte FroholdtCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaac SeumaloGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaiah AdamsGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jacoby BrissettQBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
  • Jayden WilliamsTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
  • Jon Gaines IIGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Josh SweatLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Adam ButlerDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Aidan O'ConnellQuarterbackOut
  • AJ ColePunterQuestionable
  • Alex CappaGuardQuestionable
  • Andre Carter IIDefensive EndQuestionable
  • Brock BowersTight EndOut
  • Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
  • Caleb RogersGuardOut
  • Charles SnowdenDefensive EndOut
  • Darien PorterCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Darnay HolmesCornerbackOut
  • Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

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