NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Arizona Cardinals vs Green Bay Packers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Packers is the better survivor pick this week

Packers score 0.368 equity (47.0% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.199 — a real gap of 0.169.

ARI team page →GB team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LACOpponent@ MIN
19.9%Win prob47.0%
0.199Equity score0.368
+9.5Spread11/11 books+1.5
47.5Game total46.5
▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.002

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 13 meetings · ARI 5 — GB 8. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1386.3ELO rating1527.4
#29ELO rank#15
3-14Record9-7-1
NFC WestDivisionNFC North
#4Division rank#2
L 17 · L 23 · L 7 · L 20 · L 28Last 5newest firstL 4 · L 13 · L 17 · L 6 · L 8

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.0 · #19vs QB15.0 · #12
26.9 · #30vs RB21.9 · #17
30.2 · #15vs WR31.3 · #18
16.9 · #30vs TE12.1 · #10

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game2.06 (2025)
6.82Pressures / game10
3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows17-15-1

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion44.1% · #15
13.8% · #3Play action11.7% · #12
2.0% · #26RPO7.9% · #4
4.7% · #8Screen pass3.3% · #18
9.9% · #6No huddle7.2% · #14
59.2% · #9Shotgun52.2% · #21

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage21.2% · #31
27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)21.9% · #28
25.7% · #29Pressure30.7% · #16
ARI scheme profile →GB scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

  • Blake GillikinPFull Participation in Practice
  • Dadrion Taylor-DemersonSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Garrett WilliamsCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Isaiah AdamsGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
  • Jeremiyah LoveRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
  • Josh SweatLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • PJ MustipherDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Will JohnsonCBFull Participation in Practice

Green Bay Packers

  • Aaron BanksGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Anthony BeltonOffensive TackleOut
  • Barryn SorrellLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Bo MeltonCornerbackQuestionable
  • Brandon McManusPlace KickerOut
  • Brenton Cox Jr.Defensive EndQuestionable
  • Christian WatsonWide ReceiverOut
  • Collin OliverDefensive EndOut
  • Devonte WyattDTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Donovan JenningsGuardOut
  • Dontayvion WicksWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • Edgerrin CooperLinebackerOut

Relevant to this matchup

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