NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Arizona Cardinals vs Green Bay Packers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Packers is the better survivor pick this week

Packers score 0.293 equity (39.5% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.209 — a real gap of 0.084.

ARI team page →GB team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ SEAOpponent@ NE
22.8%Win prob39.5%
0.209Equity score0.293
+8.5Spread10/11 books+3.0
39.5Game total45.0
▲ 0.002Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 13 meetings · ARI 5 — GB 8. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1431.0ELO rating1531.1
#30ELO rank#13
3-5Record5-3
NFC WestDivisionNFC North
#4Division rank#4
W +3 · L 14 · W +2 · L 24 · L 12Last 5newest firstW +8 · L 3 · W +10 · W +24 · W +3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

22.0 · #27vs QB12.6 · #5
20.8 · #13vs RB25.5 · #23
33.5 · #17vs WR35.0 · #22
15.4 · #21vs TE9.0 · #2

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2 (2026)Sacks / game2.75 (2026)
6.86Pressures / game9.38
3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows19-16-1

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion44.1% · #15
13.8% · #3Play action11.7% · #12
2.0% · #26RPO7.9% · #4
4.7% · #8Screen pass3.3% · #18
9.9% · #6No huddle7.2% · #14
59.2% · #9Shotgun52.2% · #21

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage21.2% · #31
27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)21.9% · #28
25.7% · #29Pressure30.7% · #16
ARI scheme profile →GB scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

  • Bam KnightRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Budda BakerSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Hjalte FroholdtCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaac SeumaloGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaiah AdamsGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jacoby BrissettQBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
  • Jayden WilliamsTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
  • Jon Gaines IIGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Josh SweatLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve

Green Bay Packers

  • Aaron BanksGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Chris BrooksRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Christian WatsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Devonte WyattDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Javon HargraveDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Jayden ReedWide ReceiverOut
  • Josh WhyleTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Keisean NixonCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Matthew GoldenWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • Micah ParsonsLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Sean RhyanCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Travis GloverGDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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