NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Lions is the better survivor pick this week

Lions score 0.520 equity (73.5% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.200 — a real gap of 0.319.

ARI team page →DET team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ SEAOpponent@ MIA
22.6%Win prob73.5%
0.200Equity score0.520
+8.5Spread11/11 books−7.0
39.5Game total50.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 5DET @ ARI45-21 · DET

All-time series: 20 meetings · ARI 10 — DET 9 · 1 ties. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1431.0ELO rating1560.8
#30ELO rank#6
3-5Record5-2
NFC WestDivisionNFC North
#4Division rank#3
W +3 · L 14 · W +2 · L 24 · L 12Last 5newest firstW +4 · W +3 · W +24 · L 6 · W +7

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

22.0 · #27vs QB24.8 · #28
20.8 · #13vs RB18.2 · #4
33.5 · #17vs WR37.6 · #26
15.4 · #21vs TE27.9 · #28

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2 (2026)Sacks / game3.5 (2026)
6.86Pressures / game12.67
3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows16-14

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion47.3% · #9
13.8% · #3Play action12.0% · #10
2.0% · #26RPO3.1% · #24
4.7% · #8Screen pass4.9% · #6
9.9% · #6No huddle5.0% · #20
59.2% · #9Shotgun42.3% · #30

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage42.6% · #4
27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)28.9% · #10
25.7% · #29Pressure31.8% · #10
ARI scheme profile →DET scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

  • Bam KnightRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Budda BakerSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Hjalte FroholdtCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaac SeumaloGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaiah AdamsGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jacoby BrissettQBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
  • Jayden WilliamsTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
  • Jon Gaines IIGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Josh SweatLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve

Detroit Lions

  • Amen OgbongbemigaLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Amon-Ra St. BrownWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Blake MillerOffensive TackleOut
  • Brian BranchSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Cade MaysCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Christian MahoganyGuardOut
  • D.J. ReedCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • DJ WonnumDEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isiah PachecoRunning BackInjured Reserve
  • Jack CampbellLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Jacob SaylorsRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Kerby JosephSLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

Track your real pool free — 10-day trial, no card →