Compare

Arizona Cardinals vs Denver Broncos

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Broncos is the better survivor pick this week

Broncos score 0.340 equity (43.2% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.199 — a real gap of 0.141.

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LACOpponent@ KC
19.9%Win prob43.2%
0.199Equity score0.340
+9.5Spread11/11 books+2.5
47.5Game total43.5
▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.003

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 7DEN @ ARInot played yet

All-time series: 7 meetings · ARI 1 DEN 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1386.3ELO rating1588.3
#29ELO rank#4
3-14Record14-3
NFC WestDivisionAFC West
#4Division rank#1
L 17 · L 23 · L 7 · L 20 · L 28Last 5newest firstL 3 · W +3 · W +16 · W +7 · L 14

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.0 · #19vs QB14.2 · #9
26.9 · #30vs RB17.0 · #1
30.2 · #15vs WR27.0 · #9
16.9 · #30vs TE13.7 · #16

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game4 (2025)
6.82Pressures / game13.05
3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows10-11

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion39.9% · #25
13.8% · #3Play action12.5% · #7
2.0% · #26RPO7.0% · #9
4.7% · #8Screen pass5.5% · #3
9.9% · #6No huddle11.0% · #5
59.2% · #9Shotgun54.3% · #16

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage44.4% · #1
27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)32.8% · #6
25.7% · #29Pressure33.7% · #5

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

  • Blake GillikinPFull Participation in Practice
  • Dadrion Taylor-DemersonSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Garrett WilliamsCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Isaiah AdamsGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
  • Jeremiyah LoveRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
  • Josh SweatLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • PJ MustipherDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Will JohnsonCBFull Participation in Practice

Denver Broncos

  • Alex ForsythCenterOut
  • Alex SingletonLinebackerOut
  • Cody SchraderRunning BackOut
  • D.J. JonesDefensive TackleOut
  • Delarrin Turner-YellSafetyQuestionable
  • Dre GreenlawLinebackerOut
  • Drew SandersLinebackerQuestionable
  • Elijah MooreWide ReceiverOut
  • Evan EngramTight EndOut
  • Frank CrumOffensive TackleOut
  • Garret WallowLinebackerQuestionable
  • Geron ChristianOffensive TackleOut

Relevant to this matchup

Track your real pool free — 10-day trial, no card →