NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Arizona Cardinals vs Denver Broncos

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Broncos is the better survivor pick this week

Broncos score 0.443 equity (57.2% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.200 — a real gap of 0.243.

ARI team page →DEN team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ SEAOpponent@ CAR
22.6%Win prob57.2%
0.200Equity score0.443
+8.5Spread11/11 books−2.5
39.5Game total44.0
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 7DEN @ ARI30-16 · DEN

All-time series: 8 meetings · ARI 1 — DEN 7. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1431.0ELO rating1589.8
#30ELO rank#2
3-5Record6-2
NFC WestDivisionAFC West
#4Division rank#1
W +3 · L 14 · W +2 · L 24 · L 12Last 5newest firstW +4 · W +14 · W +3 · W +6 · L 10

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

22.0 · #27vs QB16.4 · #13
20.8 · #13vs RB25.3 · #22
33.5 · #17vs WR27.5 · #7
15.4 · #21vs TE16.7 · #23

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2 (2026)Sacks / game3 (2026)
6.86Pressures / game11.14
3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows12-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion39.9% · #25
13.8% · #3Play action12.5% · #7
2.0% · #26RPO7.0% · #9
4.7% · #8Screen pass5.5% · #3
9.9% · #6No huddle11.0% · #5
59.2% · #9Shotgun54.3% · #16

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage44.4% · #1
27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)32.8% · #6
25.7% · #29Pressure33.7% · #5
ARI scheme profile →DEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

  • Bam KnightRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Budda BakerSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Hjalte FroholdtCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaac SeumaloGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaiah AdamsGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jacoby BrissettQBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
  • Jayden WilliamsTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
  • Jon Gaines IIGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Josh SweatLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve

Denver Broncos

  • Brandon JonesSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Caleb LohnerTight EndInjured Reserve
  • Courtland SuttonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Eyioma UwazurikeDEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Frank CrumOffensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Jaylen WaddleWRFull Participation in Practice
  • Jonah ColemanRunning BackInjured Reserve
  • Jonathon CooperLinebackerOut
  • Kris Abrams-DraineCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Levelle BaileyLinebackerInjured Reserve
  • Nick GargiuloGuardOut
  • Pat BryantWRFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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