NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Cowboys is the better survivor pick this week

Cowboys score 0.428 equity (59.1% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.199 — a real gap of 0.228.

ARI team page →DAL team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LACOpponent@ NYG
19.9%Win prob59.1%
0.199Equity score0.428
+9.5Spread11/11 books−3.0
47.5Game total48.0
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 8ARI @ DALnot played yet

All-time series: 19 meetings · ARI 12 — DAL 7. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1386.3ELO rating1485.3
#29ELO rank#19
3-14Record7-9-1
NFC WestDivisionNFC East
#4Division rank#2
L 17 · L 23 · L 7 · L 20 · L 28Last 5newest firstL 17 · W +7 · L 17 · L 8 · L 14

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.0 · #19vs QB23.3 · #32
26.9 · #30vs RB25.7 · #28
30.2 · #15vs WR39.3 · #32
16.9 · #30vs TE12.3 · #12

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game2 (2025)
6.82Pressures / game10.76
3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows24-13-1

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion47.1% · #11
13.8% · #3Play action13.0% · #5
2.0% · #26RPO4.1% · #18
4.7% · #8Screen pass2.7% · #27
9.9% · #6No huddle7.8% · #11
59.2% · #9Shotgun51.7% · #22

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage26.0% · #25
27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)28.4% · #12
25.7% · #29Pressure31.8% · #11
ARI scheme profile →DAL scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

  • Blake GillikinPFull Participation in Practice
  • Dadrion Taylor-DemersonSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Garrett WilliamsCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Isaiah AdamsGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
  • Jeremiyah LoveRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
  • Josh SweatLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • PJ MustipherDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Will JohnsonCBFull Participation in Practice

Dallas Cowboys

  • Ajani CorneliusTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Alijah ClarkSafetyOut
  • Bruce HarmonCornerbackQuestionable
  • Caelen CarsonCornerbackOut
  • CeeDee LambWide ReceiverOut
  • Christian MatthewCornerbackQuestionable
  • Cooper BeebeCenterQuestionable
  • DeMarvion OvershownLinebackerQuestionable
  • Donovan WilsonSafetyQuestionable
  • Earnest Brown IVDefensive EndQuestionable
  • Hakeem AdenijiOffensive TackleOut
  • Jack SanbornLinebackerOut

Relevant to this matchup

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