NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Arizona Cardinals vs Cleveland Browns

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Browns is the better survivor pick this week

Browns score 0.215 equity (22.4% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.199 — a real gap of 0.016.

ARI team page →CLE team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LACOpponent@ JAX
19.9%Win prob22.4%
0.199Equity score0.215
+9.5Spread11/11 books+8.5
47.5Game total40.0
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 8 meetings · ARI 6 — CLE 2. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1386.3ELO rating1419.8
#29ELO rank#27
3-14Record5-12
NFC WestDivisionAFC North
#4Division rank#4
L 17 · L 23 · L 7 · L 20 · L 28Last 5newest firstW +2 · W +7 · L 3 · L 28 · L 2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.0 · #19vs QB13.3 · #5
26.9 · #30vs RB22.8 · #19
30.2 · #15vs WR26.9 · #8
16.9 · #30vs TE12.1 · #9

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game3.12 (2025)
6.82Pressures / game9.29
3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows6-9

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion39.3% · #27
13.8% · #3Play action11.2% · #15
2.0% · #26RPO3.0% · #25
4.7% · #8Screen pass4.2% · #11
9.9% · #6No huddle7.5% · #12
59.2% · #9Shotgun55.8% · #14

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage41.3% · #5
27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)28.1% · #15
25.7% · #29Pressure35.1% · #1
ARI scheme profile →CLE scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

  • Blake GillikinPFull Participation in Practice
  • Dadrion Taylor-DemersonSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Garrett WilliamsCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Isaiah AdamsGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
  • Jeremiyah LoveRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
  • Josh SweatLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • PJ MustipherDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Will JohnsonCBFull Participation in Practice

Cleveland Browns

  • Adin HuntingtonDefensive EndQuestionable
  • Alex WrightDefensive EndOut
  • Anthony KendallCornerbackInjured Reserve
  • Blake WhiteheartTight EndQuestionable
  • Brenden BatesTight EndOut
  • Cam RobinsonOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Cameron McGroneLinebackerQuestionable
  • Carson SchwesingerLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Cedric TillmanWide ReceiverOut
  • Cornelius LucasOffensive TackleOut
  • David NjokuTight EndOut
  • Dawand JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

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