NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Bengals is the better survivor pick this week

Bengals score 0.440 equity (64.4% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.199 — a real gap of 0.241.

ARI team page →CIN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LACOpponentvs TB
19.9%Win prob64.4%
0.199Equity score0.440
+9.5Spread11/11 books−3.5
47.5Game total50.5
▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.004

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 8 meetings · ARI 4 — CIN 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1386.3ELO rating1474.0
#29ELO rank#22
3-14Record6-11
NFC WestDivisionAFC North
#4Division rank#3
L 17 · L 23 · L 7 · L 20 · L 28Last 5newest firstL 2 · W +23 · W +24 · L 24 · L 5

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.0 · #19vs QB18.4 · #26
26.9 · #30vs RB28.6 · #32
30.2 · #15vs WR25.3 · #2
16.9 · #30vs TE20.9 · #31

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game2 (2025)
6.82Pressures / game7.12
3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows16-10

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion42.1% · #20
13.8% · #3Play action8.5% · #30
2.0% · #26RPO7.3% · #6
4.7% · #8Screen pass3.3% · #19
9.9% · #6No huddle2.5% · #31
59.2% · #9Shotgun67.0% · #3

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage36.6% · #11
27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)17.6% · #32
25.7% · #29Pressure29.4% · #22
ARI scheme profile →CIN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

  • Blake GillikinPFull Participation in Practice
  • Dadrion Taylor-DemersonSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Garrett WilliamsCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Isaiah AdamsGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
  • Jeremiyah LoveRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
  • Josh SweatLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • PJ MustipherDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Will JohnsonCBFull Participation in Practice

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Amarius MimsOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • B.J. HillDTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Cam GrandyTight EndQuestionable
  • Cam SampleDefensive EndOut
  • Cam Taylor-BrittCornerbackQuestionable
  • Cedric JohnsonDefensive EndQuestionable
  • Charlie JonesWide ReceiverOut
  • Cordell VolsonGuardOut
  • Dalton RisnerGuardQuestionable
  • DJ Turner IICBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Drew SampleTight EndQuestionable
  • Dylan FairchildGuardOut

Relevant to this matchup

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