NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Arizona Cardinals vs Carolina Panthers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Panthers is the better survivor pick this week

Panthers score 0.307 equity (42.7% win probability) against Cardinals at 0.203 — a real gap of 0.104.

ARI team page →CAR team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ SEAOpponentvs DEN
22.9%Win prob42.7%
0.203Equity score0.307
+8.5Spread11/11 books+2.5
39.5Game total44.0
▲ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 21 meetings · ARI 7 — CAR 14. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1431.0ELO rating1456.0
#30ELO rank#24
3-5Record3-4
NFC WestDivisionNFC South
#4Division rank#1
W +3 · L 14 · W +2 · L 24 · L 12Last 5newest firstL 8 · L 30 · W +11 · W +6 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

22.0 · #27vs QB16.8 · #14
20.8 · #13vs RB28.3 · #28
33.5 · #17vs WR30.2 · #13
15.4 · #21vs TE13.9 · #15

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2 (2026)Sacks / game1.43 (2026)
6.86Pressures / game8.57
3-9Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows4-6

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

35.4% · #30Pre-snap motion34.5% · #31
13.8% · #3Play action10.4% · #21
2.0% · #26RPO7.8% · #5
4.7% · #8Screen pass3.0% · #22
9.9% · #6No huddle4.7% · #23
59.2% · #9Shotgun55.4% · #15

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

29.1% · #19Man coverage21.4% · #30
27.4% · #17Blitz (5+ rushers)27.1% · #19
25.7% · #29Pressure21.3% · #32
ARI scheme profile →CAR scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Arizona Cardinals

  • Bam KnightRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Budda BakerSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Hjalte FroholdtCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaac SeumaloGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isaiah AdamsGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jacoby BrissettQBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • James ConnerRunning BackQuestionable
  • Jayden WilliamsTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joey BlountSafetyQuestionable
  • Jon Gaines IIGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Josh SweatLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kaleb ProctorDefensive TackleInjured Reserve

Carolina Panthers

  • Bobby Brown IIIDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Bobby OkerekeLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Brady ChristensenGFull Participation in Practice
  • Bryce YoungQBFull Participation in Practice
  • Chris Brazzell IIWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Corey BullockGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Damien LewisGDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dan ChisenaWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Ikem EkwonuOffensive TackleOut
  • Jaelan PhillipsLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Nic ScourtonLinebackerInjured Reserve
  • Taylor MotonOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Relevant to this matchup

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