How the Tennessee Titans Perform as a Survivor Pick
2006–2024 · 2006-10-29 to 2025-01-05
As favorite
84-50
Win rate
62.7%
Sample size
134 games
vs market
-1.7 wins
Record as a market favorite
Every graded game since 2006 where the de-vigged market made them the favorite.
The Tennessee Titans have been the betting favorite in 134 graded games and won 84 of them — 62.7%. The market priced those same games at 85.7 expected wins, so they finished -1.7 against their own price. That gap is small relative to the sample and should be read as noise, not a repeatable edge.
Narrowing to the games survivor players actually consider — a pre-game win probability of at least 65% — the record is 37-12 (75.5%) across 49 games, against 36.1 expected wins.
Biggest survivor-relevant upset losses
Games this team lost, ranked by how heavy a favorite the market made them.
- vs JAX · 2013 Week 1081.9%
Lost 27–29 on 2013-11-10 · game detail
- vs HOU · 2021 Week 1179.7%
Lost 13–22 on 2021-11-21 · game detail
- at CIN · 2020 Week 874.0%
Lost 20–31 on 2020-11-01 · game detail
- vs WAS · 2010 Week 1173.8%
Lost 16–19 on 2010-11-21 · game detail
- at IND · 2011 Week 1572.3%
Lost 13–27 on 2011-12-18 · game detail
- vs DEN · 2010 Week 471.6%
Lost 20–26 on 2010-10-03 · game detail
- at BUF · 2018 Week 571.1%
Lost 12–13 on 2018-10-07 · game detail
- vs PIT · 2010 Week 270.5%
Lost 11–19 on 2010-09-19 · game detail
Best weeks to pick them
Aggregated by week number across every ingested season. Weeks need at least 5 favorite games to be ranked.
- Week 1710-1 as favorite · market expected 65.9%91%
- Week 96-1 as favorite · market expected 63.0%86%
- Week 88-2 as favorite · market expected 63.3%80%
Riskiest weeks to pick them
- Week 41-4 as favorite · market expected 64.3%20%
- Week 12-5 as favorite · market expected 59.7%29%
- Week 22-3 as favorite · market expected 63.7%40%
Every week on record
| Week | Games | Record | Win rate | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 7 | 2-5 | 29% | 60% |
| Week 2 | 5 | 2-3 | 40% | 64% |
| Week 3 | 7 | 5-2 | 71% | 61% |
| Week 4 | 5 | 1-4 | 20% | 64% |
| Week 5 | 7 | 3-4 | 43% | 62% |
| Week 6 | 7 | 5-2 | 71% | 63% |
| Week 7 | 8 | 5-3 | 63% | 62% |
| Week 8 | 10 | 8-2 | 80% | 63% |
| Week 9 | 7 | 6-1 | 86% | 63% |
| Week 10 | 7 | 5-2 | 71% | 66% |
| Week 11 | 3 | 1-2 | 33% | 69% |
| Week 12 | 10 | 7-3 | 70% | 62% |
| Week 13 | 8 | 6-2 | 75% | 67% |
| Week 14 | 11 | 7-4 | 64% | 67% |
| Week 15 | 10 | 6-4 | 60% | 62% |
| Week 16 | 7 | 4-3 | 57% | 69% |
| Week 17 | 11 | 10-1 | 91% | 66% |
| Week 18 | 2 | 1-1 | 50% | 69% |
| Week 19 | 1 | 0-1 | 0% | 58% |
| Week 20 | 1 | 0-1 | 0% | 64% |
Week-level samples are small by construction — a handful of games each. Treat them as history, not as a forecast.