How the Seattle Seahawks Perform as a Survivor Pick
2006–2026 · 2006-10-15 to 2026-11-02
As favorite
146-58
Win rate
71.6%
Sample size
204 games
vs market
+6.0 wins
Record as a market favorite
Every graded game since 2006 where the de-vigged market made them the favorite.
The Seattle Seahawks have been the betting favorite in 204 graded games and won 146 of them — 71.6%. The market priced those same games at 140.0 expected wins, so they finished +6.0 against their own price. That gap is small relative to the sample and should be read as noise, not a repeatable edge.
Narrowing to the games survivor players actually consider — a pre-game win probability of at least 65% — the record is 97-26 (78.9%) across 123 games, against 93.0 expected wins.
Biggest survivor-relevant upset losses
Games this team lost, ranked by how heavy a favorite the market made them.
- vs LA · 2015 Week 1683.2%
Lost 17–23 on 2015-12-27 · game detail
- vs SF · 2006 Week 1582.2%
Lost 14–24 on 2006-12-14 · game detail
- vs NYG · 2020 Week 1381.1%
Lost 12–17 on 2020-12-06 · game detail
- vs DAL · 2014 Week 679.9%
Lost 23–30 on 2014-10-12 · game detail
- vs ARI · 2013 Week 1679.0%
Lost 10–17 on 2013-12-22 · game detail
- vs WAS · 2017 Week 977.7%
Lost 14–17 on 2017-11-05 · game detail
- vs ARI · 2016 Week 1677.3%
Lost 31–34 on 2016-12-24 · game detail
- at WAS · 2026 Week 377.2%
Lost 31–33 on 2026-09-27 · game detail
Best weeks to pick them
Aggregated by week number across every ingested season. Weeks need at least 5 favorite games to be ranked.
- Week 89-1 as favorite · market expected 66.3%90%
- Week 189-1 as favorite · market expected 64.0%90%
- Week 108-1 as favorite · market expected 68.8%89%
Riskiest weeks to pick them
- Week 65-5 as favorite · market expected 66.2%50%
- Week 54-4 as favorite · market expected 63.2%50%
- Week 166-5 as favorite · market expected 70.6%55%
Every week on record
| Week | Games | Record | Win rate | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 11 | 8-3 | 73% | 66% |
| Week 2 | 9 | 5-4 | 56% | 67% |
| Week 3 | 14 | 10-4 | 71% | 69% |
| Week 4 | 13 | 11-2 | 85% | 63% |
| Week 5 | 8 | 4-4 | 50% | 63% |
| Week 6 | 10 | 5-5 | 50% | 66% |
| Week 7 | 12 | 8-4 | 67% | 68% |
| Week 8 | 10 | 9-1 | 90% | 66% |
| Week 9 | 10 | 8-2 | 80% | 73% |
| Week 10 | 9 | 8-1 | 89% | 69% |
| Week 11 | 10 | 6-4 | 60% | 66% |
| Week 12 | 13 | 8-5 | 62% | 67% |
| Week 13 | 9 | 8-1 | 89% | 73% |
| Week 14 | 12 | 9-3 | 75% | 71% |
| Week 15 | 13 | 8-5 | 62% | 75% |
| Week 16 | 11 | 6-5 | 55% | 71% |
| Week 17 | 12 | 9-3 | 75% | 75% |
| Week 18 | 10 | 9-1 | 90% | 64% |
| Week 19 | 2 | 2-0 | 100% | 82% |
| Week 20 | 3 | 3-0 | 100% | 71% |
| Week 21 | 2 | 1-1 | 50% | 53% |
| Week 22 | 1 | 1-0 | 100% | 68% |
Week-level samples are small by construction — a handful of games each. Treat them as history, not as a forecast.