2025 · Week 16 · 2025-12-21 · REG
ATLatARI26 – 19
State Farm Stadium · closed roof · grass
Pre-game market
FavouriteATL
Favourite win prob (de-vigged)57.2%
Home moneyline+124
Away moneyline-148
Spread (home)-2.5
Total line48.5
Result vs marketfavourite held
Situational record
Divisionalno
Home rest (days)7
Away rest (days)10
Rest differential-3
Home coachJonathan Gannon
Away coachRaheem Morris
Eliminated (standings proxy)ARI
Clinched division (proxy)none
Conditions
Temperature (°F)—
Wind (mph)—
Roofclosed
Surfacegrass
Source: recorded game conditions.
Officiating crew
- Back JudgeBrad Freeman
- Side JudgeDominique Pender
- Line JudgeJeff Hutcheon
- Field JudgeKarina Tovar
- RefereeLand Clark
- UmpireMark Pellis
- Down JudgeTom Stephan
Box score leaders
| Team | Player | Stat | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | BJ Ojulari | Total Defensive Sacks | 1 |
| ARI | Akeem Davis-Gaither | Total Defensive Tackles | 11 |
| ARI | Jacoby Brissett | Total Passing Touchdowns | 1 |
| ARI | Jacoby Brissett | Total Passing Yards | 203 |
| ARI | Elijah Higgins | Total Receiving Yards | 91 |
| ARI | Elijah Higgins | Total Receptions | 7 |
| ARI | Michael Carter | Total Rushing Yards | 65 |
| ATL | Arnold Ebiketie | Total Defensive Sacks | 1 |
| ATL | Divine Deablo | Total Defensive Tackles | 6 |
| ATL | Kirk Cousins | Total Passing Touchdowns | 2 |
| ATL | Kirk Cousins | Total Passing Yards | 197 |
| ATL | Bijan Robinson | Total Receiving Yards | 92 |
| ATL | Kyle Pitts Sr. | Total Receptions | 7 |
| ATL | Kirk Cousins | Total Rushing Touchdowns | 1 |
| ATL | Tyler Allgeier | Total Rushing Yards | 79 |
Highlightly match 509581
What we tested about games like this
Rest differentialflat
Real rest differential of -3 days.
Home underdogsflat
The home team was the real market underdog.
Surface & altitudeflat
Played on grass under a closed roof.
Late-week information timingvalidated
ARI was already eliminated by the real standings proxy.
Referee crew effectmixed
Land Clark was the real head referee.