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New York Jets vs Tennessee Titans

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Jets play Titans in Week 1

They face each other, so only one can be used this week. On real de-vigged market prices TEN carries the higher survivor equity score.

NYJ team page →TEN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ TENOpponentvs NYJ

47.2%Win prob52.8%

0.359Equity score0.391

+1.5Spread11/11 books−1.5

38.5Game total38.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Head-to-head this week

week 1 · Nissan Stadium

Matchup: NYJ @ TEN
Spread (home): −1.5 (11 books)
Total: 38.5 (11 books)
Kickoff: Sun, 13 Sep 2026 17:00

Opened TEN −2.5, now TEN −1.5 · moved 1.0 toward NYJ · Total 39.5 → 38.5 (−1.0)(86 snapshots)

Forecast: 93.9°F · wind 2.2 mph · 0% precip · Clouds

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 1NYJ @ TENnot played yet

All-time series: 12 meetings · NYJ 8 — TEN 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1379.3ELO rating1362.6

#30ELO rank#32

3-14Record3-14

AFC EastDivisionAFC South

#4Division rank#4

L 27 · L 32 · L 23 · L 28 · L 24Last 5newest firstL 34 · L 8 · W +17 · L 13 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

19.9 · #31vs QB19.0 · #28

28.0 · #31vs RB21.6 · #14

30.3 · #16vs WR35.6 · #28

15.2 · #24vs TE14.2 · #19

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.53 (2025)Sacks / game2.47 (2025)

5.18Pressures / game9.06

3-12Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows6-7

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

49.8% · #7Pre-snap motion35.5% · #29

8.6% · #29Play action9.9% · #24

7.1% · #8RPO8.6% · #3

3.4% · #17Screen pass5.7% · #2

8.1% · #10No huddle8.2% · #9

59.8% · #8Shotgun58.9% · #11

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

40.5% · #6Man coverage27.1% · #22

28.3% · #13Blitz (5+ rushers)22.9% · #24

24.8% · #30Pressure29.5% · #21

NYJ scheme profile →TEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

New York Jets

Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
Allen LazardWide ReceiverOut
Andre CiscoSafetyQuestionable
Arian SmithWide ReceiverOut
Azareye'h ThomasCornerbackQuestionable
Braelon AllenRunning BackOut
Breece HallRBFull Participation in Practice
Bump CooperCornerbackInjured Reserve
Byron CowartDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam JonesLinebackerOut
Chris Smith IISafetyOut
D'Angelo PondsCBLimited Participation in Practice

Tennessee Titans

Ali GayeLinebackerQuestionable
Amani HookerSafetyOut
Anfernee OrjiLinebackerInjured Reserve
Arden KeyLinebackerQuestionable
Blake HanceGuardQuestionable
Bryce OliverWide ReceiverOut
C.J. RavenellDefensive EndOut
Calvin RidleyWide ReceiverOut
Cam HorsleyDefensive TackleOut
Cam WardQuarterbackOut
Cedric GrayLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Chandler BrewerOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(mentions Titans)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)