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New York Giants vs Tennessee Titans

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Titans is the better survivor pick this week

Titans score 0.392 equity (52.1% win probability) against Giants at 0.324 — a real gap of 0.068.

NYG team page →TEN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs DALOpponentvs NYJ

40.7%Win prob52.1%

0.324Equity score0.392

+3.0Spread11/11 books−1.0

48.0Game total38.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 3TEN @ NYGnot played yet

All-time series: 7 meetings · NYG 2 — TEN 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1390.8ELO rating1362.6

#28ELO rank#32

4-13Record3-14

NFC EastDivisionAFC South

#4Division rank#4

W +17 · W +24 · L 3 · L 8 · L 18Last 5newest firstL 34 · L 8 · W +17 · L 13 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

18.3 · #25vs QB19.0 · #28

25.8 · #29vs RB21.6 · #14

33.7 · #24vs WR35.6 · #28

11.4 · #8vs TE14.2 · #19

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.24 (2025)Sacks / game2.47 (2025)

8.41Pressures / game9.06

3-18Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows6-7

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

30.8% · #32Pre-snap motion35.5% · #29

10.8% · #18Play action9.9% · #24

9.3% · #2RPO8.6% · #3

3.1% · #20Screen pass5.7% · #2

17.4% · #3No huddle8.2% · #9

64.8% · #6Shotgun58.9% · #11

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

40.3% · #7Man coverage27.1% · #22

30.5% · #9Blitz (5+ rushers)22.9% · #24

30.2% · #17Pressure29.5% · #21

NYG scheme profile →TEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

New York Giants

Andrew ThomasTFull Participation in Practice
Anthony Johnson Jr.SafetyOut
Art GreenCornerbackQuestionable
Bryan HudsonCFull Participation in Practice
Bryce Ford-WheatonWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Cam SkatteboRunning BackOut
Chris BoardLinebackerQuestionable
Cor'Dale FlottCornerbackOut
Daniel BellingerTight EndQuestionable
Dante MillerRunning BackOut
Darius AlexanderDefensive TackleOut
Darius MuasauLinebackerQuestionable

Tennessee Titans

Ali GayeLinebackerQuestionable
Amani HookerSafetyOut
Anfernee OrjiLinebackerInjured Reserve
Arden KeyLinebackerQuestionable
Blake HanceGuardQuestionable
Bryce OliverWide ReceiverOut
C.J. RavenellDefensive EndOut
Calvin RidleyWide ReceiverOut
Cam HorsleyDefensive TackleOut
Cam WardQuarterbackOut
Cedric GrayLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Chandler BrewerOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(mentions Titans)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)