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New York Giants vs San Francisco 49ers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Giants is the better survivor pick this week

Giants score 0.324 equity (40.7% win probability) against 49ers at 0.306 — a real gap of 0.018.

NYG team page →SF team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs DALOpponent@ LA

40.7%Win prob35.8%

0.324Equity score0.306

+3.0Spread11/11 books+3.5

48.0Game total47.5

▲ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 13SF @ NYGnot played yet

All-time series: 15 meetings · NYG 7 — SF 8. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1390.8ELO rating1559.3

#28ELO rank#9

4-13Record12-5

NFC EastDivisionNFC West

#4Division rank#2

W +17 · W +24 · L 3 · L 8 · L 18Last 5newest firstL 35 · W +4 · L 10 · W +4 · W +21

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

18.3 · #25vs QB17.1 · #20

25.8 · #29vs RB23.6 · #22

33.7 · #24vs WR32.2 · #21

11.4 · #8vs TE14.8 · #23

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.24 (2025)Sacks / game1.21 (2025)

8.41Pressures / game5.95

3-18Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows22-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

30.8% · #32Pre-snap motion55.1% · #2

10.8% · #18Play action10.8% · #17

9.3% · #2RPO0.6% · #31

3.1% · #20Screen pass3.0% · #23

17.4% · #3No huddle3.7% · #26

64.8% · #6Shotgun45.0% · #27

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

40.3% · #7Man coverage26.6% · #24

30.5% · #9Blitz (5+ rushers)22.6% · #25

30.2% · #17Pressure23.2% · #31

NYG scheme profile →SF scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

New York Giants

Andrew ThomasTFull Participation in Practice
Anthony Johnson Jr.SafetyOut
Art GreenCornerbackQuestionable
Bryan HudsonCFull Participation in Practice
Bryce Ford-WheatonWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Cam SkatteboRunning BackOut
Chris BoardLinebackerQuestionable
Cor'Dale FlottCornerbackOut
Daniel BellingerTight EndQuestionable
Dante MillerRunning BackOut
Darius AlexanderDefensive TackleOut
Darius MuasauLinebackerQuestionable

San Francisco 49ers

Alfred CollinsDTOut
Ameer AbdullahRunning BackQuestionable
Austen PleasantsOffensive TackleOut
Ben BartchGuardQuestionable
Brandon AiyukWide ReceiverOut
Brock PurdyQuarterbackOut
CJ WestDefensive TackleOut
Corey KinerRunning BackInjured Reserve
Dee WintersLinebackerOut
Demarcus RobinsonWide ReceiverSuspension
Dominick PuniGuardQuestionable
Dre GreenlawLBFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)