Compare

Las Vegas Raiders vs Tennessee Titans

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Raiders is the better survivor pick this week

Raiders score 0.424 equity (60.5% win probability) against Titans at 0.391 — a real gap of 0.034.

LV team page →TEN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs MIAOpponentvs NYJ

60.5%Win prob52.8%

0.424Equity score0.391

−3.0Spread11/11 books−1.5

40.5Game total38.5

▲ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 16TEN @ LVnot played yet

All-time series: 16 meetings · LV 8 — TEN 8. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1373.0ELO rating1362.6

#31ELO rank#32

3-14Record3-14

AFC WestDivisionAFC South

#4Division rank#4

W +2 · L 24 · L 2 · L 31 · L 7Last 5newest firstL 34 · L 8 · W +17 · L 13 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

16.1 · #16vs QB19.0 · #28

23.4 · #21vs RB21.6 · #14

33.5 · #22vs WR35.6 · #28

10.1 · #2vs TE14.2 · #19

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.12 (2025)Sacks / game2.47 (2025)

6.76Pressures / game9.06

8-14Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows6-7

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.4% · #22Pre-snap motion35.5% · #29

12.4% · #9Play action9.9% · #24

3.2% · #23RPO8.6% · #3

4.1% · #12Screen pass5.7% · #2

7.4% · #13No huddle8.2% · #9

54.2% · #19Shotgun58.9% · #11

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.9% · #29Man coverage27.1% · #22

22.4% · #26Blitz (5+ rushers)22.9% · #24

27.8% · #27Pressure29.5% · #21

LV scheme profile →TEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Las Vegas Raiders

Adam ButlerDefensive TackleQuestionable
Aidan O'ConnellQuarterbackOut
AJ ColePunterQuestionable
Alex CappaGuardQuestionable
Andre Carter IIDefensive EndQuestionable
Ashton JeantyRBFull Participation in Practice
Brock BowersTEDid Not Participate In Practice
Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
Caleb RogersGuardOut
Charles SnowdenDefensive EndOut
Darnay HolmesCornerbackOut
Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut

Tennessee Titans

Ali GayeLinebackerQuestionable
Amani HookerSafetyOut
Anfernee OrjiLinebackerInjured Reserve
Arden KeyLinebackerQuestionable
Blake HanceGuardQuestionable
Bryce OliverWide ReceiverOut
C.J. RavenellDefensive EndOut
Calvin RidleyWide ReceiverOut
Cam HorsleyDefensive TackleOut
Cam WardQuarterbackOut
Cedric GrayLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Chandler BrewerOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(mentions Titans)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)