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Detroit Lions vs Tennessee Titans

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Lions is the better survivor pick this week

Lions score 0.500 equity (73.2% win probability) against Titans at 0.396 — a real gap of 0.105.

DET team page →TEN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs NOOpponentvs NYJ

73.2%Win prob52.6%

0.500Equity score0.396

−7.0Spread11/11 books−1.5

50.0Game total38.5

▲ 0.003Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 14TEN @ DETnot played yet

All-time series: 7 meetings · DET 1 — TEN 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1564.1ELO rating1362.6

#7ELO rank#32

9-8Record3-14

NFC NorthDivisionAFC South

#3Division rank#4

W +3 · L 13 · L 5 · L 7 · W +14Last 5newest firstL 34 · L 8 · W +17 · L 13 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

18.2 · #24vs QB19.0 · #28

19.4 · #7vs RB21.6 · #14

35.6 · #29vs WR35.6 · #28

13.7 · #17vs TE14.2 · #19

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3 (2025)Sacks / game2.47 (2025)

9.25Pressures / game9.06

16-12Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows6-7

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

47.3% · #9Pre-snap motion35.5% · #29

12.0% · #10Play action9.9% · #24

3.1% · #24RPO8.6% · #3

4.9% · #6Screen pass5.7% · #2

5.0% · #20No huddle8.2% · #9

42.3% · #30Shotgun58.9% · #11

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

42.6% · #4Man coverage27.1% · #22

28.9% · #10Blitz (5+ rushers)22.9% · #24

31.8% · #10Pressure29.5% · #21

DET scheme profile →TEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Detroit Lions

Ahmed HassaneinDefensive EndQuestionable
Alex AnzaloneLinebackerQuestionable
Alim McNeillDefensive TackleOut
Amon-Ra St. BrownWide ReceiverOut
Chris SmithDefensive TackleOut
Christian IzienSLimited Participation in Practice
Craig ReynoldsRunning BackOut
D.J. ReedCornerbackQuestionable
Dan JacksonSafetyInjured Reserve
Daniel ThomasSafetyQuestionable
Derrick MooreDELimited Participation in Practice
Dicaprio BootleCornerbackInjured Reserve

Tennessee Titans

Ali GayeLinebackerQuestionable
Amani HookerSafetyOut
Anfernee OrjiLinebackerInjured Reserve
Arden KeyLinebackerQuestionable
Blake HanceGuardQuestionable
Bryce OliverWide ReceiverOut
C.J. RavenellDefensive EndOut
Calvin RidleyWide ReceiverOut
Cam HorsleyDefensive TackleOut
Cam WardQuarterbackOut
Cedric GrayLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Chandler BrewerOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(mentions Lions)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(mentions Titans)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)