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Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Steelers is the better survivor pick this week

Steelers score 0.459 equity (67.2% win probability) against Panthers at 0.332 — a real gap of 0.127.

CAR team page →PIT team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs CHIOpponentvs ATL

39.7%Win prob67.2%

0.332Equity score0.459

+3.0Spread11/11 books−5.0

47.0Game total41.5

▲ 0.011Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 16CAR @ PITnot played yet

All-time series: 7 meetings · CAR 0 — PIT 7. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1434.3ELO rating1529.4

#25ELO rank#13

8-9Record10-7

NFC SouthDivisionAFC North

#3Division rank#1

L 3 · L 2 · L 17 · W +3 · L 3Last 5newest firstL 24 · W +2 · L 7 · W +5 · W +13

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

13.8 · #6vs QB18.8 · #27

24.1 · #24vs RB19.5 · #8

26.6 · #7vs WR35.2 · #26

13.7 · #18vs TE16.6 · #29

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.72 (2025)Sacks / game2.83 (2025)

5.94Pressures / game9

3-5Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows15-18

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

34.5% · #31Pre-snap motion43.4% · #16

10.4% · #21Play action9.2% · #27

7.8% · #5RPO7.0% · #10

3.0% · #22Screen pass6.6% · #1

4.7% · #23No huddle9.7% · #7

55.4% · #15Shotgun54.2% · #17

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.4% · #30Man coverage36.9% · #10

27.1% · #19Blitz (5+ rushers)31.4% · #8

21.3% · #32Pressure29.5% · #20

CAR scheme profile →PIT scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Carolina Panthers

Bobby Brown IIIDTFull Participation in Practice
Chris Brazzell IIWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Damien LewisGuardQuestionable
Dan ChisenaWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Ikem EkwonuOffensive TackleOut
Jonathon BrooksRBLimited Participation in Practice
Nic ScourtonLinebackerInjured Reserve
Patrick Jones IILBDid Not Participate In Practice

Pittsburgh Steelers

Aaron RodgersQuarterbackQuestionable
Alex HighsmithLinebackerOut
Andrus PeatGuardQuestionable
Brandin EcholsCornerbackQuestionable
Brandon JohnsonWide ReceiverQuestionable
Broderick JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable
Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
Calvin Austin IIIWide ReceiverQuestionable
Cameron McCutcheonCornerbackInjured Reserve
Christian KuntzLong SnapperQuestionable
Chuck ClarkSafetyOut
Darius SlayCornerbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)