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Carolina Panthers vs Chicago Bears

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Panthers play Bears in Week 1

They face each other, so only one can be used this week. On real de-vigged market prices CHI carries the higher survivor equity score.

CAR team page →CHI team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs CHIOpponent@ CAR

39.6%Win prob60.4%

0.331Equity score0.419

+3.0Spread11/11 books−3.0

47.0Game total47.0

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Head-to-head this week

week 1 · Bank of America Stadium

Matchup: CHI @ CAR
Spread (home): +3.0 (11 books)
Total: 47.0 (11 books)
Kickoff: Sun, 13 Sep 2026 17:00

Opened CAR +2.5, now CAR +3.0 · moved 0.5 toward CHI · Total 47.5 → 47.0 (−0.5)(99 snapshots)

Forecast: 88.6°F · wind 1.3 mph · 0% precip · Clear

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 1CHI @ CARnot played yet

All-time series: 12 meetings · CAR 4 — CHI 8. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1434.3ELO rating1510.3

#25ELO rank#17

8-9Record11-6

NFC SouthDivisionNFC North

#3Division rank#1

L 3 · L 2 · L 17 · W +3 · L 3Last 5newest firstL 3 · W +4 · L 3 · L 4 · W +6

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

13.8 · #6vs QB18.1 · #22

24.1 · #24vs RB21.7 · #16

26.6 · #7vs WR35.5 · #27

13.7 · #18vs TE13.1 · #14

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.72 (2025)Sacks / game2.22 (2025)

5.94Pressures / game7.94

3-5Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows9-15

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

34.5% · #31Pre-snap motion47.2% · #10

10.4% · #21Play action14.7% · #2

7.8% · #5RPO3.6% · #22

3.0% · #22Screen pass4.1% · #13

4.7% · #23No huddle4.3% · #24

55.4% · #15Shotgun44.2% · #28

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.4% · #30Man coverage43.8% · #2

27.1% · #19Blitz (5+ rushers)28.7% · #11

21.3% · #32Pressure28.7% · #23

CAR scheme profile →CHI scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Carolina Panthers

Bobby Brown IIIDTFull Participation in Practice
Chris Brazzell IIWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Damien LewisGuardQuestionable
Dan ChisenaWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Ikem EkwonuOffensive TackleOut
Jonathon BrooksRBLimited Participation in Practice
Nic ScourtonLinebackerInjured Reserve
Patrick Jones IILBDid Not Participate In Practice

Chicago Bears

Amen OgbongbemigaLinebackerQuestionable
Austin BookerDefensive EndQuestionable
Bill MurrayGuardQuestionable
Braxton JonesOffensive TackleOut
Cairo SantosPlace KickerOut
Case KeenumQuarterbackOut
Chris WilliamsDefensive TackleOut
Cole KmetTight EndQuestionable
Colston LovelandTight EndQuestionable
D'Marco JacksonLinebackerOut
Darnell WrightOffensive TackleOut
Deion HankinsRunning BackInjured Reserve

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)