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Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Chargers is the better survivor pick this week

Chargers score 0.551 equity (80.1% win probability) against Ravens at 0.419 — a real gap of 0.132.

BAL team page →LAC team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ INDOpponentvs ARI

61.4%Win prob80.1%

0.419Equity score0.551

−3.5Spread11/11 books−9.5

48.0Game total47.5

▼ 0.006Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 10LAC @ BALnot played yet

All-time series: 14 meetings · BAL 10 — LAC 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1535.9ELO rating1536.9

#12ELO rank#11

8-9Record11-6

AFC NorthDivisionAFC West

#2Division rank#2

L 2 · W +17 · L 4 · W +24 · L 5Last 5newest firstL 13 · L 16 · L 4 · W +17 · W +3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

17.7 · #21vs QB12.6 · #2

23.7 · #23vs RB18.7 · #3

35.7 · #30vs WR27.4 · #11

10.9 · #6vs TE10.5 · #4

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.76 (2025)Sacks / game2.78 (2025)

7.65Pressures / game8

22-13Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows15-16

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.8% · #21Pre-snap motion42.2% · #19

8.9% · #28Play action11.5% · #14

4.4% · #17RPO2.0% · #27

2.8% · #24Screen pass2.8% · #25

2.7% · #30No huddle3.9% · #25

52.4% · #20Shotgun59.0% · #10

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

32.9% · #13Man coverage23.6% · #27

23.7% · #22Blitz (5+ rushers)22.1% · #27

28.1% · #25Pressure31.3% · #12

BAL scheme profile →LAC scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Baltimore Ravens

Adisa IsaacLinebackerQuestionable
Aeneas PeeblesDefensive TackleOut
Bilhal KoneCornerbackInjured Reserve
Carson VinsonOffensive TackleOut
Chidobe AwuzieCornerbackQuestionable
Cooper RushQuarterbackOut
Dayton WadeWide ReceiverQuestionable
DeAndre HopkinsWide ReceiverQuestionable
Devontez WalkerWRLimited Participation in Practice
Emery Jones Jr.Offensive TackleOut
Isaiah LikelyTight EndQuestionable
Jaire AlexanderCornerbackOut

Los Angeles Chargers

Benjamin St-JusteCornerbackOut
Bobby HartOffensive TackleOut
Bradley BozemanCenterOut
Brenen ThompsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Bud DupreeLinebackerQuestionable
Cam HartCornerbackOut
Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleQuestionable
Deane LeonardCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Del'Shawn PhillipsLinebackerOut
Dez FitzpatrickWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Donte JacksonCornerbackQuestionable
Elijah MoldenCornerbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(mentions Chargers)